Trader consensus pins Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women’s Miami Open favorite at 35% implied probability, fueled by her sustained world No. 1 dominance on hardcourts, including the 2024 US Open title and consistent deep runs in Sunshine Double events. Elena Rybakina trails at 24%, her booming serve and flat groundstrokes thriving in Miami's fast conditions, bolstered by strong 2024 hardcourt showings despite a WTA Finals semifinal exit. Karolina Muchova's injury comeback yields 12.5%, with resurgent form like her US Open quarters, while Jessica Pegula (12.3%) benefits from home-crowd edge and top-10 reliability. Rising teens Mirra Andreeva (11.5%) and Hailey Baptiste (9%) reflect youth momentum, amid no major injuries shifting odds post-US Open. Historical Miami upsets underscore volatility, but big servers lead crowd wisdom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
2026 Women’s Miami Open Winner
Aryna Sabalenka 35%
Elena Rybakina 24%
Karolina Muchova 13%
Jessica Pegula 11.9%
$136,710 Vol.
$136,710 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
35%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Karolina Muchova
13%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Mirra Andreeva
12%
Jaqueline Cristian
9%
Qinwen Zheng
9%
Hailey Baptiste
9%
Coco Gauff
9%
Sorana Cirstea
9%
Madison Keys
9%
Jelena Ostapenko
9%
Alexandra Eala
9%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Caty McNally
7%
Belinda Bencic
9%
Elina Svitolina
4%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Amanda Anisimova
10%
Iva Jovic
<1%
Aryna Sabalenka 35%
Elena Rybakina 24%
Karolina Muchova 13%
Jessica Pegula 11.9%
$136,710 Vol.
$136,710 Vol.
Aryna Sabalenka
35%
Elena Rybakina
24%
Karolina Muchova
13%
Jessica Pegula
12%
Mirra Andreeva
12%
Jaqueline Cristian
9%
Qinwen Zheng
9%
Hailey Baptiste
9%
Coco Gauff
9%
Sorana Cirstea
9%
Madison Keys
9%
Jelena Ostapenko
9%
Alexandra Eala
9%
Victoria Mboko
8%
Caty McNally
7%
Belinda Bencic
9%
Elina Svitolina
4%
Marta Kostyuk
3%
Amanda Anisimova
10%
Iva Jovic
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 Miami Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 12, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Miami Open (https://www.miamiopen.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 10:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus pins Aryna Sabalenka as the clear 2026 Women’s Miami Open favorite at 35% implied probability, fueled by her sustained world No. 1 dominance on hardcourts, including the 2024 US Open title and consistent deep runs in Sunshine Double events. Elena Rybakina trails at 24%, her booming serve and flat groundstrokes thriving in Miami's fast conditions, bolstered by strong 2024 hardcourt showings despite a WTA Finals semifinal exit. Karolina Muchova's injury comeback yields 12.5%, with resurgent form like her US Open quarters, while Jessica Pegula (12.3%) benefits from home-crowd edge and top-10 reliability. Rising teens Mirra Andreeva (11.5%) and Hailey Baptiste (9%) reflect youth momentum, amid no major injuries shifting odds post-US Open. Historical Miami upsets underscore volatility, but big servers lead crowd wisdom.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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