Trump won, now what?
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
62%
chance
4.5%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
5%
chance
1.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
1%
chance
0.1%
US government shutdown in 2025?
69%
chance
6%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3%
chance
0.5%
Trump out as President in 2025?
6%
chance
0%
US government shutdown by October 1?
60%
chance
1.5%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
5%
chance
1%
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?
2%
chance
1.3%
Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?
2%
chance
0.9%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
9%
chance
0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
2%
chance
0.4%
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
59%
chance
13.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
6%
chance
1%
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?
28%
chance
42%
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
8%
chance
5%
Trump out as President by September 30?
1%
chance
0%
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
7%
chance
2.9%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
6%
chance
1%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
9%
chance
0%
Will Trump pause/remove 100k H1B program by October 31?
47%
chance
0%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?
0%
chance
0%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
79%
chance
3%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
11%
chance
0.3%
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
8%
chance
1.5%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
3%
chance
0.2%
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?
57%
chance
0%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
10%
chance
0%
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?
24%
chance
0%
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?
5%
chance
2.5%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
62%
chance
4.5%
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
5%
chance
1.1%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
1%
chance
0.1%
US government shutdown in 2025?
69%
chance
6%
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
3%
chance
0.5%
Trump out as President in 2025?
6%
chance
0%
US government shutdown by October 1?
60%
chance
1.5%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
5%
chance
1%
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by September 30?
2%
chance
1.3%
Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?
2%
chance
0.9%
Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in 2025?
9%
chance
0%
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia?
2%
chance
0.4%
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
59%
chance
13.7%
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?
6%
chance
1%
Will Trump meet with Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?
28%
chance
42%
Will Trump designate ANTIFA a terrorist organization by September 30?
8%
chance
5%
Trump out as President by September 30?
1%
chance
0%
Will the U.S. invade Afghanistan in 2025?
7%
chance
2.9%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
6%
chance
1%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration in 2025?
9%
chance
0%
Will Trump pause/remove 100k H1B program by October 31?
47%
chance
0%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by September 30?
0%
chance
0%
Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition
79%
chance
3%
Will Trump announce Kevin Warsh as next Fed Chair in 2025?
11%
chance
0.3%
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?
8%
chance
1.5%
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
3%
chance
0.2%
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in September?
57%
chance
0%
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
10%
chance
0%
Will courts block Trump's 100k H1b by September 30?
24%
chance
0%
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in September?
5%
chance
2.5%
