Market icon

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

$4,000,368 Vol.

No announcement by December 31 45%

Chris Waller 21.4%

Kevin Warsh 12.5%

Kevin Hassett 9.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume

$4,000,368

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

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$4,000,368 Vol.

Market icon

Who will Trump announce as next Fed Chair in 2025?

No announcement by December 31 45%

Chris Waller 21.4%

Kevin Warsh 12.5%

Kevin Hassett 9.1%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

No announcement by December 31

$1,003,375 Vol.

Chris Waller

$292,697 Vol.

Kevin Warsh

$390,258 Vol.

Kevin Hassett

$304,640 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$270,975 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$262,392 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$268,249 Vol.

Roger W. Ferguson Jr.

$563,738 Vol.

Arthur Laffer

$50,170 Vol.

Larry Kudlow

$90,521 Vol.

Ron Paul

$69,055 Vol.

Chamath Palihapitiya

$42,088 Vol.

Howard Lutnick

$231,445 Vol.

Elon Musk

$160,764 Vol.

About

Volume

$4,000,368

End Date

Dec 31, 2025