Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
$951,779 Vol.
Christopher Waller 29%
Kevin Hassett 22%
Kevin Warsh 20%
Stephen Miran 13.3%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Christopher Waller
$114,636 Vol.
29%
Christopher Waller
$114,636 Vol.
29%
Kevin Hassett
$49,884 Vol.
22%
Kevin Hassett
$49,884 Vol.
22%
Kevin Warsh
$36,179 Vol.
20%
Kevin Warsh
$36,179 Vol.
20%
Stephen Miran
$83,357 Vol.
13%
Stephen Miran
$83,357 Vol.
13%
James Bullard
$76,602 Vol.
8%
James Bullard
$76,602 Vol.
8%
Rick Rieder
$32,948 Vol.
5%
Rick Rieder
$32,948 Vol.
5%
Scott Bessent
$30,023 Vol.
4%
Scott Bessent
$30,023 Vol.
4%
David Zervos
$24,892 Vol.
2%
David Zervos
$24,892 Vol.
2%
No one nominated before 2027
$24,648 Vol.
1%
No one nominated before 2027
$24,648 Vol.
1%
Larry Lindsey
$5,691 Vol.
1%
Larry Lindsey
$5,691 Vol.
1%
Jerome Powell
$25,056 Vol.
<1%
Jerome Powell
$25,056 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$34,779 Vol.
<1%
David Malpass
$34,779 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$48,840 Vol.
<1%
Ron Paul
$48,840 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$32,065 Vol.
<1%
Janet Yellen
$32,065 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$31,776 Vol.
<1%
Bill Pulte
$31,776 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$52,860 Vol.
<1%
Arthur Laffer
$52,860 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$62,289 Vol.
<1%
Larry Kudlow
$62,289 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bowman
$23,529 Vol.
<1%
Michelle Bowman
$23,529 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$26,218 Vol.
<1%
Lorie K. Logan
$26,218 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$43,074 Vol.
<1%
Judy Shelton
$43,074 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$23,415 Vol.
<1%
Marc Sumerlin
$23,415 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$20,437 Vol.
<1%
Philip Jefferson
$20,437 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$43,578 Vol.
<1%
Howard Lutnick
$43,578 Vol.
<1%
Rules
Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$951,779
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...$951,779 Vol.
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Christopher Waller 29%
Kevin Hassett 22%
Kevin Warsh 20%
Stephen Miran 13.3%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Christopher Waller
$114,636 Vol.
Kevin Hassett
$49,884 Vol.
Kevin Warsh
$36,179 Vol.
Stephen Miran
$83,357 Vol.
James Bullard
$76,602 Vol.
Rick Rieder
$32,948 Vol.
Scott Bessent
$30,023 Vol.
David Zervos
$24,892 Vol.
No one nominated before 2027
$24,648 Vol.
Larry Lindsey
$5,691 Vol.
Jerome Powell
$25,056 Vol.
David Malpass
$34,779 Vol.
Ron Paul
$48,840 Vol.
Janet Yellen
$32,065 Vol.
Bill Pulte
$31,776 Vol.
Arthur Laffer
$52,860 Vol.
Larry Kudlow
$62,289 Vol.
Michelle Bowman
$23,529 Vol.
Lorie K. Logan
$26,218 Vol.
Judy Shelton
$43,074 Vol.
Marc Sumerlin
$23,415 Vol.
Philip Jefferson
$20,437 Vol.
Howard Lutnick
$43,578 Vol.
About
Volume
$951,779
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...
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