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Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?

$34,428 Vol.

15% chance

Rules

Additional context

Updated May 29

We’re aware of the dispute on this market. If a clarification is to be issued, it will be at 3 PM ET. If no statement is issued at that time, then there will be no clarification by the Polymarket team. The orderbook will be cleared at 3 PM ET regardless of whether a clarification is made.

As it pertains to pauses, delays, or removals of tariffs, judicial or other actions not initiated by the Trump administration, which ban or block the listed tariff, will not alone qualify. However, if the Trump administration - including any executive branch agency such as U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) - pauses, delays, removes or otherwise ceases enforcement of the listed tariff in compliance with a court order, this will qualify even if not publicly announced or formalized by legislation or an executive order.

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume

$34,428

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

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$34,428 Vol.

Market icon

Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?

15% chance

About

Additional context

Updated May 29

We’re aware of the dispute on this market. If a clarification is to be issued, it will be at 3 PM ET. If no statement is issued at that time, then there will be no clarification by the Polymarket team. The orderbook will be cleared at 3 PM ET regardless of whether a clarification is made.

As it pertains to pauses, delays, or removals of tariffs, judicial or other actions not initiated by the Trump administration, which ban or block the listed tariff, will not alone qualify. However, if the Trump administration - including any executive branch agency such as U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) - pauses, delays, removes or otherwise ceases enforcement of the listed tariff in compliance with a court order, this will qualify even if not publicly announced or formalized by legislation or an executive order.

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the 10% general tariff by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions which remove the general 10% tariff will qualify even if there are item specific exceptions for which the tariff still applies. However, lowering the general tariff below 10% without removing it will not qualify.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Volume

$34,428

End Date

Dec 31, 2025