Market icon

Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?

$25,626 Vol.

27% chance

Rules

This market resolves to “Yes” if CME Group files a self-certification under CFTC Regulation 40.2 for at least one sport-based event contract by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”

For this market, “self-certify” means CME, acting as a DCM or self-listing exchange, submits a written certification per 17 C.F.R. § 40.2 that the contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations. The contract must explicitly reference a sporting event (e.g. game result, player performance, etc.). Announcements alone do not qualify; the filing must be made and publicly verifiable.

The resolution source will be the CFTC’s public filings, CME’s disclosures, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

$25,626

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

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$25,626 Vol.

Market icon

Will CME self certify a sports contract in 2025?

27% chance

About

This market resolves to “Yes” if CME Group files a self-certification under CFTC Regulation 40.2 for at least one sport-based event contract by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”

For this market, “self-certify” means CME, acting as a DCM or self-listing exchange, submits a written certification per 17 C.F.R. § 40.2 that the contract complies with the Commodity Exchange Act and CFTC regulations. The contract must explicitly reference a sporting event (e.g. game result, player performance, etc.). Announcements alone do not qualify; the filing must be made and publicly verifiable.

The resolution source will be the CFTC’s public filings, CME’s disclosures, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Volume

$25,626

End Date

Dec 31, 2025