Trader consensus pins Khamzat Chimaev as the overwhelming favorite to hold UFC Middleweight gold by year's end 2026, reflecting his pristine 14-0 record and explosive face-crank submission of top contender Robert Whittaker at UFC 308 last month, solidifying his path to a likely early-2025 title clash with champion Dricus du Plessis. Du Plessis, fresh off a second-round TKO defense against Israel Adesanya at UFC 305, slips to fourth amid questions over his grappling vulnerabilities exposed previously. Sean Strickland's gritty decision win over Dominick Reyes at UFC 307 keeps him viable as a rematch threat, while Nassourdine Imavov's knockout of Jared Cannonier fuels his contender surge, capturing the division's shifting momentum and youth-driven upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedKhamzat Chimaev 64%
Sean Strickland 12.7%
Dricus Du Plessis 8.4%
Nassourdine Imavov 7%
Khamzat Chimaev
64%
Sean Strickland
19%
Dricus Du Plessis
8%
Nassourdine Imavov
12%
Caio Borralho
2%
Reinier de Ridder
1%
Anthony Hernandez
1%
Brendan Allen
1%
Israel Adesanya
1%
Robert Whittaker
1%
Jared Cannonier
1%
Khamzat Chimaev 64%
Sean Strickland 12.7%
Dricus Du Plessis 8.4%
Nassourdine Imavov 7%
Khamzat Chimaev
64%
Sean Strickland
19%
Dricus Du Plessis
8%
Nassourdine Imavov
12%
Caio Borralho
2%
Reinier de Ridder
1%
Anthony Hernandez
1%
Brendan Allen
1%
Israel Adesanya
1%
Robert Whittaker
1%
Jared Cannonier
1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus pins Khamzat Chimaev as the overwhelming favorite to hold UFC Middleweight gold by year's end 2026, reflecting his pristine 14-0 record and explosive face-crank submission of top contender Robert Whittaker at UFC 308 last month, solidifying his path to a likely early-2025 title clash with champion Dricus du Plessis. Du Plessis, fresh off a second-round TKO defense against Israel Adesanya at UFC 305, slips to fourth amid questions over his grappling vulnerabilities exposed previously. Sean Strickland's gritty decision win over Dominick Reyes at UFC 307 keeps him viable as a rematch threat, while Nassourdine Imavov's knockout of Jared Cannonier fuels his contender surge, capturing the division's shifting momentum and youth-driven upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions