Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Name: Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
Start: 2026-01-02T22:55:56.283Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00.000Z

Sports·UFC

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Merab Dvalishvili 25%

Umar Nurmagomedov 19%

Sean O'Malley 16%

Deiveson Figueiredo 7.4%

NEW

Dec 31, 2026

Merab Dvalishvili

$0 Vol.

23%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$0 Vol.

28%

Sean O'Malley

$0 Vol.

16%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

Marlon Vera

$0 Vol.

Aiemann Zahabi

$0 Vol.

26%

Song Yadong

$0 Vol.

Mario Bautista

$0 Vol.

David Martinez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

23%

Petr Yan

$0 Vol.

31%

Merab Dvalishvili 25%

Umar Nurmagomedov 19%

Sean O'Malley 16%

Deiveson Figueiredo 7.4%

NEW

Dec 31, 2026

Merab Dvalishvili

$0 Vol.

23%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$0 Vol.

28%

Sean O'Malley

$0 Vol.

16%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

Marlon Vera

$0 Vol.

Aiemann Zahabi

$0 Vol.

26%

Song Yadong

$0 Vol.

Mario Bautista

$0 Vol.

David Martinez

$0 Vol.

<1%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

23%

Petr Yan

$0 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Trader consensus reflects the UFC bantamweight division's exceptional depth and volatility, where no contender holds a clear path to dominating through 2026, keeping top probabilities tightly clustered. Current champion Merab Dvalishvili's grueling wrestling style faces a stern test in his January 2025 title defense against undefeated Umar Nurmagomedov, fueling doubts on his long-term reign despite recent odds around 23%. Veteran Petr Yan leads at 31% on resurgence via knockouts and title experience, while Cory Sandhagen's technical prowess and Aiemann Zahabi's surprise six-fight win streak add unpredictability. Sean O'Malley lags post-loss, as matchmaking, upsets, and emerging talents like Figueiredo keep the race wide open.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated Mar 22, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC

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52%

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40%

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Petr Yan" at 31%, followed by "Umar Nurmagomedov" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jan 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" is "Petr Yan" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Umar Nurmagomedov" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

Yes. You don't need to trade to stay informed. This page serves as a live tracker for "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?." The outcome probabilities update in real-time as new trades come in. You can bookmark this page and check the comments section to see what other traders are saying. You can also use the time-range filters on the chart to see how the odds have shifted over time. It's a free, real-time window into what the market expects to happen.

Polymarket odds are set by real traders putting real money behind their beliefs, which tends to surface accurate predictions. “Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?” is still building its trading base, so the odds will become increasingly reliable as more participants enter the market. Prediction markets like Polymarket have a strong track record of accuracy, especially as events approach their resolution date. For example, Polymarket has a one month accuracy score of 94%. For the latest stats on Polymarket’s prediction accuracy, visit the accuracy page on Polymarket.

To place your first trade on "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?," sign up for a free Polymarket account and fund it using crypto, a credit or debit card, or a bank transfer. Once your account is funded, return to this page, select the outcome you want to trade, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If you're new to prediction markets, click the "How it works" link at the top of any Polymarket page for a quick step-by-step walkthrough of how trading works.

On Polymarket, the price of each outcome represents the market's implied probability. A price of 31¢ for "Petr Yan" in the "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" market means traders collectively believe there is roughly a 31% chance that "Petr Yan" will be the correct result. If you buy "Yes" shares at 31¢ and the outcome is correct, you receive $1.00 per share — a profit of 69¢ per share. If incorrect, those shares are worth $0.

The "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" market is scheduled to resolve on or around Dec 31, 2026. This means trading will remain open and the odds will continue to shift as new information emerges until that date. The exact resolution timing depends on when the official result becomes available, as outlined in the "Rules" section on this page.

The "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?" market was recently created. Be one of the first to share your analysis by posting a comment below, or check back as the market grows to read what other traders think. You can also view the "Activity" tab for a real-time feed of recent trades.

Polymarket is the world's largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge of real-world events. Traders buy and sell shares on outcomes for topics ranging from politics and elections to crypto, finance, sports, tech, and culture, including markets like "Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?." Prices reflect real-time, crowd-sourced probabilities backed by financial conviction, often providing faster and more accurate signals than polls, pundits, or traditional surveys.

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?

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Frequently Asked Questions

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