Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No one" announcing a 2028 presidential run before 2027, reflecting historical patterns where major bids rarely emerge over three years pre-election, as seen in prior cycles. VP JD Vance leads individual options at around 20% implied probability, buoyed by his role in Trump's administration and heir-apparent positioning, though he has made no formal statements. Democrats like Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer trail amid internal polling but lack official moves post-2024 losses. Recent Trump victory remarks endorsing Vance indirectly boosted his odds, while Michelle Obama reiterated disinterest. Key catalysts ahead: 2026 midterms and early-state visits could shift sentiment if exploratory committees form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWho will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
$230,076 Vol.

Brian Kemp
21%

J.D. Vance
19%

Mark Kelly
18%

Kristi Noem
17%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Gavin Newsom
16%

Kamala Harris
16%

Phil Murphy
16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%

Nikki Haley
14%

Ron DeSantis
14%

Tucker Carlson
14%

Mark Cuban
14%

Elise Stefanik
13%

Jared Polis
13%

John Fetterman
13%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
12%

Tulsi Gabbard
12%

Steve Bannon
12%

Wes Moore
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

John Thune
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Andrew Yang
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Ted Cruz
11%

Mike Pence
10%

Beto O’Rourke
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

J.B. Pritzker
9%

Cory Booker
9%

Marco Rubio
9%

Raphael Warnock
9%

Tom Brady
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

Jon Stewart
9%

George Clooney
9%

Oprah Winfrey
9%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Ivanka Trump
8%

Greg Abbott
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Rand Paul
7%

Andy Beshear
7%

Roy Cooper
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Elon Musk
7%

Josh Hawley
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Hillary Clinton
7%

Tim Walz
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Gina Raimondo
11%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Katie Britt
10%

Hunter Biden
5%

Erika Kirk
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Barack Obama
4%

Donald Trump
4%

LeBron James
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

MrBeast
3%

Gretchen Whitmer
51%

Candace Owens
45%
$230,076 Vol.

Brian Kemp
21%

J.D. Vance
19%

Mark Kelly
18%

Kristi Noem
17%

Pete Buttigieg
16%

Gavin Newsom
16%

Kamala Harris
16%

Phil Murphy
16%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
15%

Nikki Haley
14%

Ron DeSantis
14%

Tucker Carlson
14%

Mark Cuban
14%

Elise Stefanik
13%

Jared Polis
13%

John Fetterman
13%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
12%

Tulsi Gabbard
12%

Steve Bannon
12%

Wes Moore
12%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
12%

John Thune
11%

Vivek Ramaswamy
11%

Andrew Yang
11%

Jon Ossoff
11%

Rahm Emanuel
11%

Ted Cruz
11%

Mike Pence
10%

Beto O’Rourke
9%

Donald Trump Jr.
9%

J.B. Pritzker
9%

Cory Booker
9%

Marco Rubio
9%

Raphael Warnock
9%

Tom Brady
9%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
9%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
9%

Jon Stewart
9%

George Clooney
9%

Oprah Winfrey
9%

Glenn Youngkin
8%

Liz Cheney
8%

Ivanka Trump
8%

Greg Abbott
8%

Kim Kardashian
8%

Rand Paul
7%

Andy Beshear
7%

Roy Cooper
7%

Chelsea Clinton
7%

Elon Musk
7%

Josh Hawley
7%

Stephen A. Smith
7%

Hillary Clinton
7%

Tim Walz
7%

Josh Shapiro
7%

Bernie Sanders
7%

Byron Donalds
7%

Gina Raimondo
11%

Matt Gaetz
6%

Katie Britt
10%

Hunter Biden
5%

Erika Kirk
4%

Michelle Obama
4%

Barack Obama
4%

Donald Trump
4%

LeBron James
3%

Zohran Mamdani
3%

MrBeast
3%

Gretchen Whitmer
51%

Candace Owens
45%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 21, 2025, 10:36 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors "No one" announcing a 2028 presidential run before 2027, reflecting historical patterns where major bids rarely emerge over three years pre-election, as seen in prior cycles. VP JD Vance leads individual options at around 20% implied probability, buoyed by his role in Trump's administration and heir-apparent positioning, though he has made no formal statements. Democrats like Gavin Newsom and Gretchen Whitmer trail amid internal polling but lack official moves post-2024 losses. Recent Trump victory remarks endorsing Vance indirectly boosted his odds, while Michelle Obama reiterated disinterest. Key catalysts ahead: 2026 midterms and early-state visits could shift sentiment if exploratory committees form.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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