Trader consensus for the 2026 NFL Draft first-round quarterback selections centers on teams with precarious QB situations and poor early-season records positioning them for high picks, such as the New York Giants (Daniel Jones' struggles amid 0-3 start), Las Vegas Raiders (instability post-Gardner Minshew trade), and Tennessee Titans (Will Levis' turnovers). Recent developments include Giants' offensive line woes exacerbating Jones' play and Raiders' Week 3 loss highlighting starter uncertainty, boosting those markets' implied probabilities. Upcoming 2025 season records will lock in draft order, while 2026 prospects like Julian Lewis and Quinn Ewers' trajectories add volatility; historical trends show 4-6 QBs often go early to neediest franchises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLas Vegas Raiders
99%
Pittsburgh Steelers
48%
New York Jets
47%
Cleveland Browns
47%
Los Angeles Rams
46%
Seattle Seahawks
35%
Arizona Cardinals
19%
Indianapolis Colts
9%
New York Giants
2%
Miami Dolphins
45%
New Orleans Saints
42%
Tennessee Titans
39%
$0.00 Vol.
Las Vegas Raiders
99%
Pittsburgh Steelers
48%
New York Jets
47%
Cleveland Browns
47%
Los Angeles Rams
46%
Seattle Seahawks
35%
Arizona Cardinals
19%
Indianapolis Colts
9%
New York Giants
2%
Miami Dolphins
45%
New Orleans Saints
42%
Tennessee Titans
39%
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus for the 2026 NFL Draft first-round quarterback selections centers on teams with precarious QB situations and poor early-season records positioning them for high picks, such as the New York Giants (Daniel Jones' struggles amid 0-3 start), Las Vegas Raiders (instability post-Gardner Minshew trade), and Tennessee Titans (Will Levis' turnovers). Recent developments include Giants' offensive line woes exacerbating Jones' play and Raiders' Week 3 loss highlighting starter uncertainty, boosting those markets' implied probabilities. Upcoming 2025 season records will lock in draft order, while 2026 prospects like Julian Lewis and Quinn Ewers' trajectories add volatility; historical trends show 4-6 QBs often go early to neediest franchises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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