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Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

$5,234,682 Vol.

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 27%

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

UNRWA 7%

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) 4%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

If multiple listed individuals or entities jointly receive the prize, the market will resolve to a single winner. If Donald Trump, Volodymyr Zelensky, Elon Musk, Pope Leo XIII, or Yulia Navalnaya are among the recipients, the market will resolve to the highest-ranked among them, in that exact order of precedence. If none of those five are among the winners, and the prize is awarded jointly to a listed individual and a listed organization, the market will resolve in favor of the individual. If no prioritized individuals are among the winners, and all recipients are of the same type (e.g. all individuals or all organizations), the market will resolve to the person whose last name, or the entity’s name, comes first in alphabetical order as listed in this market.

If no official announcement regarding the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Volume

$5,234,682

End Date

Oct 10, 2025

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Beware of external links.

$5,234,682 Vol.

Market icon

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2025

Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms 27%

Yulia Navalnaya 9%

UNRWA 7%

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières) 4%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

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Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms

$35,269 Vol.

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Yulia Navalnaya

$134,916 Vol.

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UNRWA

$28,858 Vol.

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Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

$25,270 Vol.

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Donald Trump

$3,237,689 Vol.

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Greta Thunberg

$125,646 Vol.

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Alexei Gorinov

$134,989 Vol.

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María Corina Machado

$120,415 Vol.

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Volodymyr Zelensky

$202,273 Vol.

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Pope Leo XIV

$118,661 Vol.

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Julian Assange

$90,609 Vol.

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Chow Hang‑tung

$96,335 Vol.

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Zuriel Oduwole

$143,043 Vol.

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António Guterres

$86,797 Vol.

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Keir Starmer

$209,568 Vol.

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European Union

$47,942 Vol.

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Elon Musk

$244,839 Vol.

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Ursula von der Leyen

$69,179 Vol.

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Marco Rubio

$82,386 Vol.

About

Volume

$5,234,682

End Date

Oct 10, 2025