Andrei Vasilevskiy's league-leading stats—top marks in wins, goals-against average (1.79) and save percentage (.931) through 35 games—anchor his 59% implied probability as traders price in Tampa Bay's Atlantic Division lead and his post-injury dominance. Ilya Sorokin's .923 SV% and 20 wins for surging Islanders fuel his 37% share, reflecting New York's unexpected contention. Jeremy Swayman's steady .918 SV% and Bruins' playoff positioning support 17%, though diluted workload tempers upside. Early-season volatility persists, with full regular-season sample and voter recency bias key wildcards amid tight goalie races.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedAndrei Vasilevskiy 56.9%
Ilya Sorokin 46.0%
Jeremy Swayman 4.3%
Jordan Binnington 1.6%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
60%
Ilya Sorokin
37%
Jeremy Swayman
17%
Jordan Binnington
2%
Dustin Wolf
1%
Logan Thompson
1%
Igor Shesterkin
1%
Vitek Vanecek
1%
Juuse Saros
1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
John Gibson
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Scott Wedgewood
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy 56.9%
Ilya Sorokin 46.0%
Jeremy Swayman 4.3%
Jordan Binnington 1.6%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
60%
Ilya Sorokin
37%
Jeremy Swayman
17%
Jordan Binnington
2%
Dustin Wolf
1%
Logan Thompson
1%
Igor Shesterkin
1%
Vitek Vanecek
1%
Juuse Saros
1%
Mackenzie Blackwood
<1%
Pyotr Kochetkov
<1%
Alex Nedeljkovic
<1%
Jakub Dobes
<1%
Joonas Korpisalo
<1%
Stuart Skinner
<1%
Sergei Bobrovsky
<1%
Filip Gustavsson
<1%
Arvid Soderblom
<1%
Connor Hellebuyck
<1%
Connor Ingram
<1%
Darcy Kuemper
<1%
Alexandar Georgiev
<1%
Joey Daccord
<1%
Kevin Lankinen
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Spencer Knight
<1%
Philipp Grubauer
<1%
Calvin Pickard
<1%
Thatcher Demko
<1%
Karel Vejmelka
<1%
Lukas Dostal
<1%
Jonas Johansson
<1%
Elvis Merzlikins
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Sam Montembeault
<1%
Jet Greaves
<1%
Ilya Samsonov
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Semyon Varlamov
<1%
Yaroslav Askarov
<1%
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
<1%
John Gibson
<1%
Charlie Lindgren
<1%
Justus Annunen
<1%
Anthony Stolarz
<1%
Scott Wedgewood
<1%
Eric Comrie
<1%
Jesper Wallstedt
<1%
Petr Mrazek
<1%
Adin Hill
<1%
Joseph Woll
<1%
Jake Allen
<1%
Casey DeSmith
<1%
Joel Hofer
<1%
Jonathan Quick
<1%
Anton Forsberg
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Alex Lyon
<1%
Tristan Jarry
<1%
Jacob Markstrom
<1%
Cam Talbot
<1%
David Rittich
<1%
Ivan Fedotov
<1%
Samuel Ersson
<1%
If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Vezina Trophy, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 6:36 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nhl.com/awardsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Andrei Vasilevskiy's league-leading stats—top marks in wins, goals-against average (1.79) and save percentage (.931) through 35 games—anchor his 59% implied probability as traders price in Tampa Bay's Atlantic Division lead and his post-injury dominance. Ilya Sorokin's .923 SV% and 20 wins for surging Islanders fuel his 37% share, reflecting New York's unexpected contention. Jeremy Swayman's steady .918 SV% and Bruins' playoff positioning support 17%, though diluted workload tempers upside. Early-season volatility persists, with full regular-season sample and voter recency bias key wildcards amid tight goalie races.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions