Trader consensus for the 2026 NFL Draft's second overall pick heavily favors Arvell Reese at 62.5% implied probability, driven by early hype around his athletic upside and fit for teams needing premium talent post-projected quarterback at No. 1. James Pearce Jr. (50%), Tennessee's explosive edge rusher with 10 sacks in 2024, trails closely amid scarcity for elite pass rushers, bolstered by his SEC dominance and pro-ready burst. Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), Texas' All-American left tackle, gains from elite pass protection metrics and Outland Trophy buzz. Malaki Starks (49%), Georgia's instinctive safety, rides high despite positional rarity in top picks, thanks to his ball production and range. Recent junior-year breakthroughs and mock draft ascents shape these tight odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick
2026 Pro Football Draft: 2nd Overall Pick
Arvell Reese 63%
David Bailey 13%
Jeremiyah Love 5.5%
Caleb Downs 5.2%
$51,874 Vol.
$51,874 Vol.
Arvell Reese
63%
David Bailey
19%
Jeremiyah Love
6%
Caleb Downs
5%
Reuben Bain Jr.
4%
Ty Simpson
2%
Fernando Mendoza
2%
Dante Moore
1%
Drew Allar
1%
T.J. Parker
1%
Garrett Nussmeier
1%
Carson Beck
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
Sonny Styles
10%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Kayden McDonald
<1%
Jordyn Tyson
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Carnell Tate
<1%
Trevor Goosby
<1%
Peter Woods
<1%
Arvell Reese 63%
David Bailey 13%
Jeremiyah Love 5.5%
Caleb Downs 5.2%
$51,874 Vol.
$51,874 Vol.
Arvell Reese
63%
David Bailey
19%
Jeremiyah Love
6%
Caleb Downs
5%
Reuben Bain Jr.
4%
Ty Simpson
2%
Fernando Mendoza
2%
Dante Moore
1%
Drew Allar
1%
T.J. Parker
1%
Garrett Nussmeier
1%
Carson Beck
<1%
LT Overton
<1%
Sonny Styles
10%
Nico Iamaleava
<1%
Kayden McDonald
<1%
Jordyn Tyson
<1%
Francis Mauigoa
<1%
Kadyn Proctor
<1%
Keldric Faulk
<1%
Carnell Tate
<1%
Trevor Goosby
<1%
Peter Woods
<1%
If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or the second overall pick is not definitively known by July 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025, 1:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus for the 2026 NFL Draft's second overall pick heavily favors Arvell Reese at 62.5% implied probability, driven by early hype around his athletic upside and fit for teams needing premium talent post-projected quarterback at No. 1. James Pearce Jr. (50%), Tennessee's explosive edge rusher with 10 sacks in 2024, trails closely amid scarcity for elite pass rushers, bolstered by his SEC dominance and pro-ready burst. Kelvin Banks Jr. (49%), Texas' All-American left tackle, gains from elite pass protection metrics and Outland Trophy buzz. Malaki Starks (49%), Georgia's instinctive safety, rides high despite positional rarity in top picks, thanks to his ball production and range. Recent junior-year breakthroughs and mock draft ascents shape these tight odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated


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