Trader consensus on the NCAA Tournament buzzer beater count leans heavily toward zero, driven by the complete absence of game-winning shots at the literal buzzer across all 67 games of the 2024 men's March Madness. This marks a historic drought—the first since at least 2008 without any, defying the event's reputation for chaotic finishes amid chalky outcomes favoring top seeds like UConn. Historically, tournaments average under one such dramatic heave, with recent brackets showing tighter defense and fewer overtime thrillers in later rounds. No further games remain, cementing the final tally and underscoring how elite execution curbed upset volatility this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$12,474 Vol.
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50%
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$12,474 Vol.
2+
50%
3+
22%
4+
11%
5+
5%
6+
5%
7+
4%
8+
3%
9+
5%
If no buzzer beater is scored during the 2026 NCAA Tournament, the market will resolve to “No”
A ‘buzzer beater’ is a made field goal that is scored at the expiration (leaving zero seconds on game clock) of any second-half or overtime period during the NCAA Tournament and ties the game or gives the shooting team the lead. First-half buzzer beaters will not count. Shots by a team that is already ahead or behind and that do not result in a tie or lead change will not count. Shots made at the end of the shot clock are not considered buzzer beaters.
If the tournament concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA statistics for completed games.
If the NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the exact number of “buzzer beaters” cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA and its official broadcast partners; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 18, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the NCAA Tournament buzzer beater count leans heavily toward zero, driven by the complete absence of game-winning shots at the literal buzzer across all 67 games of the 2024 men's March Madness. This marks a historic drought—the first since at least 2008 without any, defying the event's reputation for chaotic finishes amid chalky outcomes favoring top seeds like UConn. Historically, tournaments average under one such dramatic heave, with recent brackets showing tighter defense and fewer overtime thrillers in later rounds. No further games remain, cementing the final tally and underscoring how elite execution curbed upset volatility this year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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