Victor Wembanyama's overwhelming 95.9% implied probability stems from his league-leading 3.6 blocks per game through 10 outings, leveraging his 7'4" frame and elite timing to swat shots at a historic rookie clip, outpacing Evan Mobley's 2.1 and others by a wide margin. Spurs' scheme maximizes his rim protection minutes, while his health and recent 4+ block games solidify trader confidence amid early-season dominance. Challenges could arise from injury downtime—Wembanyama's load management history—or a challenger's surge, like Mobley's Cavaliers defense ramping up or rookies Sarr/Lively exploding in high-pace matchups, though the gap requires sustained multi-block averages over 70+ games.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedVictor Wembanyama 95.8%
Joel Embiid 3.1%
Evan Mobley 1.4%
Alexandre Sarr 1.3%
$351,692 Vol.
$351,692 Vol.
Victor Wembanyama
96%
Joel Embiid
3%
Evan Mobley
1%
Alexandre Sarr
1%
Dereck Lively
1%
Brook Lopez
1%
Chet Holmgren
<1%
Kristaps Porzingis
<1%
Jay Huff
<1%
Myles Turner
<1%
Jakob Poeltl
<1%
Isaiah Stewart
<1%
Walker Kessler
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
<1%
Ivica Zubac
<1%
Jonathan Isaac
<1%
Jalen Johnson
<1%
Mark Williams
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Jalen Duren
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
Donovan Clingan
<1%
Mitchell Robinson
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Isaiah Hartenstein
<1%
Daniel Gafford
<1%
Rudy Gobert
<1%
Luke Kornet
<1%
Cooper Flagg
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Deandre Ayton
<1%
Nic Claxton
<1%
Kevin Durant
<1%
Yves Missi
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Jarrett Allen
<1%
Victor Wembanyama 95.8%
Joel Embiid 3.1%
Evan Mobley 1.4%
Alexandre Sarr 1.3%
$351,692 Vol.
$351,692 Vol.
Victor Wembanyama
96%
Joel Embiid
3%
Evan Mobley
1%
Alexandre Sarr
1%
Dereck Lively
1%
Brook Lopez
1%
Chet Holmgren
<1%
Kristaps Porzingis
<1%
Jay Huff
<1%
Myles Turner
<1%
Jakob Poeltl
<1%
Isaiah Stewart
<1%
Walker Kessler
<1%
Anthony Davis
<1%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
<1%
Ivica Zubac
<1%
Jonathan Isaac
<1%
Jalen Johnson
<1%
Mark Williams
<1%
Kel'el Ware
<1%
Jalen Duren
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
<1%
Donovan Clingan
<1%
Mitchell Robinson
<1%
Amen Thompson
<1%
Isaiah Hartenstein
<1%
Daniel Gafford
<1%
Rudy Gobert
<1%
Luke Kornet
<1%
Cooper Flagg
<1%
Bam Adebayo
<1%
Deandre Ayton
<1%
Nic Claxton
<1%
Kevin Durant
<1%
Yves Missi
<1%
Draymond Green
<1%
Jarrett Allen
<1%
In the event of a tie for the highest blocks per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:45 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Victor Wembanyama's overwhelming 95.9% implied probability stems from his league-leading 3.6 blocks per game through 10 outings, leveraging his 7'4" frame and elite timing to swat shots at a historic rookie clip, outpacing Evan Mobley's 2.1 and others by a wide margin. Spurs' scheme maximizes his rim protection minutes, while his health and recent 4+ block games solidify trader confidence amid early-season dominance. Challenges could arise from injury downtime—Wembanyama's load management history—or a challenger's surge, like Mobley's Cavaliers defense ramping up or rookies Sarr/Lively exploding in high-pace matchups, though the gap requires sustained multi-block averages over 70+ games.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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