Luka Doncic's overwhelming 94.5% implied probability as NBA three-pointers made per game leader stems from his league-leading 4.4 makes per contest through 10 games, fueled by elite volume (13.1 attempts) and 33.6% efficiency amid Dallas' fast-paced offense. No other contender matches his output—Curry trails at 4.0 on fewer attempts—bolstered by Doncic's full health and Mavericks' three-point emphasis. Trader consensus reflects his durability and consistency, with historical dominance in high-usage roles. Realistic challenges include a Doncic injury, shooting regression below 30%, or Curry/Ball exploding on back-to-back 6+ make nights, though low games played widen his buffer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedLuka Doncic 94.5%
Stephen Curry 2.7%
LaMelo Ball 1.0%
Zach LaVine <1%
$553,346 Vol.
$553,346 Vol.
Luka Doncic
95%
Stephen Curry
3%
LaMelo Ball
1%
Zach LaVine
<1%
Anthony Edwards
<1%
Derrick White
<1%
Jaylen Brown
<1%
Tyrese Maxey
<1%
Payton Pritchard
<1%
Sam Hauser
<1%
Austin Reaves
<1%
Klay Thompson
<1%
Jamal Murray
<1%
CJ McCollum
<1%
Anfernee Simons
<1%
Brandon Miller
<1%
Norman Powell
<1%
Michael Porter Jr.
<1%
James Harden
<1%
Brice Sensabaugh
<1%
Kon Knueppel
<1%
Lauri Markkanen
<1%
Donovan Mitchell
<1%
Desmond Bane
<1%
Darius Garland
<1%
De'Andre Hunter
<1%
AJ Green
<1%
Trey Murphy III
<1%
Trae Young
<1%
Coby White
<1%
Cam Thomas
<1%
Duncan Robinson
<1%
Paul George
<1%
Shaedon Sharpe
<1%
Buddy Hield
<1%
Jalen Brunson
<1%
Kristaps Porzingis
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Karl-Anthony Towns
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Kevin Durant
<1%
Jalen Green
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Donte DiVincenzo
<1%
Keyonte George
<1%
Devin Booker
<1%
Jordan Poole
<1%
Gary Trent Jr.
<1%
Luka Doncic 94.5%
Stephen Curry 2.7%
LaMelo Ball 1.0%
Zach LaVine <1%
$553,346 Vol.
$553,346 Vol.
Luka Doncic
95%
Stephen Curry
3%
LaMelo Ball
1%
Zach LaVine
<1%
Anthony Edwards
<1%
Derrick White
<1%
Jaylen Brown
<1%
Tyrese Maxey
<1%
Payton Pritchard
<1%
Sam Hauser
<1%
Austin Reaves
<1%
Klay Thompson
<1%
Jamal Murray
<1%
CJ McCollum
<1%
Anfernee Simons
<1%
Brandon Miller
<1%
Norman Powell
<1%
Michael Porter Jr.
<1%
James Harden
<1%
Brice Sensabaugh
<1%
Kon Knueppel
<1%
Lauri Markkanen
<1%
Donovan Mitchell
<1%
Desmond Bane
<1%
Darius Garland
<1%
De'Andre Hunter
<1%
AJ Green
<1%
Trey Murphy III
<1%
Trae Young
<1%
Coby White
<1%
Cam Thomas
<1%
Duncan Robinson
<1%
Paul George
<1%
Shaedon Sharpe
<1%
Buddy Hield
<1%
Jalen Brunson
<1%
Kristaps Porzingis
<1%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
<1%
Karl-Anthony Towns
<1%
Victor Wembanyama
<1%
Kevin Durant
<1%
Jalen Green
<1%
LeBron James
<1%
Donte DiVincenzo
<1%
Keyonte George
<1%
Devin Booker
<1%
Jordan Poole
<1%
Gary Trent Jr.
<1%
In the event of a tie for the highest three pointers made per-game average, this market will resolve in favor of the player who appeared in the greater number of games. If the tied players also played the same number of games, the market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
Qualification for inclusion in official NBA leaderboards (such as minimum games or statistical thresholds) will be determined according to NBA rules and applied exactly as reflected in the official leaderboard.
The resolution source will be the NBA (NBA.com/stats).
Market Opened: Oct 22, 2025, 1:45 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution Source
https://www.nba.com/statsResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Luka Doncic's overwhelming 94.5% implied probability as NBA three-pointers made per game leader stems from his league-leading 4.4 makes per contest through 10 games, fueled by elite volume (13.1 attempts) and 33.6% efficiency amid Dallas' fast-paced offense. No other contender matches his output—Curry trails at 4.0 on fewer attempts—bolstered by Doncic's full health and Mavericks' three-point emphasis. Trader consensus reflects his durability and consistency, with historical dominance in high-usage roles. Realistic challenges include a Doncic injury, shooting regression below 30%, or Curry/Ball exploding on back-to-back 6+ make nights, though low games played widen his buffer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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