test_feature

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

mobile_trading_v2

authenticated_book_ws

in_game_sports_trading

preferred_sports_odds_format

live_chat

buy_sell_widget_v3

mobile_buy_sell_widget_v3

sell_on_portfolio

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

march_madness_2025

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Improved websocket for market trade data.

live_data_clob_market_websocket

live_data_clob_user_websocket

funkit_withdraw

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.

This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of Gold Card participants by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.

>100k

101-1k

2.5k-5k

5k-10k

10k-25k

1-100

1k-2.5k

25k-100k

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

President Donald Trump has introduced a 'Gold Card' visa program, priced at $5 million, aimed at attracting high net-worth individuals to gain permanent residency and help reduce U.S. debt. The proposal, replacing the EB-5 visa, has sparked discussions about its potential impact on the housing market and national debt, with Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick claiming 250,000 people are already interested.

Trump Unveils Gold Card

Has Trump put up entry into the U.S. for sale? What is the ‘gold card’ proposal? Will it replace the existing EB-5 visa programme? @narlak explains.
https://t.co/1bCxKX75OA

Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick: "If we sell 200,000 gold cards, that is $1 trillion to pay down our debt."

President Trump's new Gold Card would replace the fraudulent EB-5 program.

What do you think about this "Gold Card" proposal? https://t.co/tZ3y4Beu56

Chamath on Trump's Gold Card: "I love that. If I had to do it again, I would have spent $5 million bucks."

On E217, the besties discussed Trump's "Gold Card" or Golden Visa, which would grant card holders permanent residency for $5M.

@chamath:

"What do you guys think about the https://t.co/d8lGwTFs8m

White liberal women are OUTRAGED over Trump deporting illegal immigrants that can’t afford a ‘gold card visa’ 

These Visa’s are $5 million and will be going towards the US debt… https://t.co/gzoUmtTYPp

"USA SEEKS HIGH NET-WORTH INDIVIDUALS FROM THE WORLD OVER.
Donald Trump has announced a Gold Card scheme, a turbo version of the Green Card. It would go on sale in 2 weeks, costing USD 5 million. It’s intended to attract high net worth individuals who could bring jobs,

Why Trump’s ‘gold card’ visa program could make the pricey U.S. housing market even more expensive https://t.co/0YKqG6UhIo

🟦 Blindspot for the Left:
U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says 250,000 people are waiting to apply for President Trump’s proposed “gold card” visa program. 
https://t.co/40PI0tTbzg https://t.co/V1f0eHku1r

#MCPersonalFinance | How Trump’s ‘Gold Card' visa differs from EB-5 investment-linked programme 🇺🇸🪪

@Preeti__Kul  &amp; @Abhinavkaul  share more details here ⤵️
https://t.co/W3spP1s2Uu

#Trump #GoldCard #EB5Visa #InvestmentProgramme

This week's #crypto market highlights✅

▫️#ByBit launches bounty for stolen funds
▫️EU sanctions Russian crypto exchange Garantex
▫️South Dakota rejects #Bitcoin investment bill
▫️Trump announces $5m Gold Card for citizenship
▫️Trump confirms tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China https://t.co/1UYVAVbMbR

As President Donald Trump looks to market the "gold card" visa as a means to pay off the US' debt, questions remain whether its effects will be far-reaching. https://t.co/XL5n12Gfcn

The United States, under the Trump administration, sold 1,000 Gold Card visas at $5 million each in a single day, generating $5 billion in revenue as announced by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. This program, potentially to be renamed 'Trump Card,' targets high net worth individuals and has already attracted significant interest with 250,000 applicants.

1,000 Visas Sold

BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The United States sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $5m each in a single day - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick

That's $5 billion in revenue from just one day.

GOLD CARD: Secretary Lutnick announced he sold 1,000 $5M gold cards in just one day - before launching the official website generating $5B in revenue.  https://t.co/sNp3bItsAK

One of the more interesting parts of the pod for m personally was the Trump Gold Card - quite a few high net worth foreigners go right up against the 120 day # for US presence to avoid being subject to USA Income tax regime.  

Hearing the way Lutnick described it $5m fee for an https://t.co/1omPjLMMBM

NEW - U.S. Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced on the All In podcast that Trump admin sold 1,000 Gold Cards in one day. The Gold Card is priced at $5 million each. This suggests that the program generated total revenue of $5 billion in one day. https://t.co/KxiJIuyQSq

The U.S. government sold 1,000 Trump gold card visas at $5 million a piece according to Howard Lutnick

$5 billion in revenue in just one day is impressive! 

How many will the U.S. sell in 4 years? 👀

🚨BREAKING: US MADE $5B IN A SINGLE DAY BY SELLING 1,000 GOLD CARD VISAS FOR $5M EACH!!!🚨

(This program was created by a Solana Memecoin founder) https://t.co/SGCcKxvwGM

Trump already raised $5 BILLION in a day

selling gold card visas at $5m each https://t.co/NYyNyZ3eol

Every comment said $5,000,000 Gold Card Visas wouldn’t work…

Lutnick casually dropped that they’ve sold 1000 so far, that’s 5 billion dollars worth of Visas. 

What’s more bullish for the USA is that 1000 high net worth individuals are willing to pay this, reverse brain drain. https://t.co/eTSwDvAtZl https://t.co/yniagcEQp0

The United States sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $5m each in a single day - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says he sold 1000 immigration Gold Cards in just one day this week.

Each card is $5M. That's a lot of zeros. 

https://t.co/UDQLKY943y

ALL  ABOUT  TRUMP’s  LEGACY⁉️

Donald Trump Says Gold Card Visa Could Be Renamed  'Trump Card'

Trump's proposed "Gold Card" program would:

-Offer U.S. residency to individuals who invest $5 million in American businesses

-Replace the EB-5 visa immigrant investor visa program https://t.co/c3u4ObE9EL

Donald Trump says gold card visa could be renamed 'Trump card' - Newsweek https://t.co/blvsR4XdFh

I mean great but I think this should still be like a subscription/country club. You plunk down your $5M upfront but you should still have to do a million a year to keep the gold card subscription active. (Can get exclusive AMAs with House members) https://t.co/TJIj0U7sIa

During this interview, Howard Lutnick does a masterful job of explaining DOGE, the strategy and purpose of tariffs, the Trump Gold Card and what the Sovereign Wealth Fund will enable the USA to do

This is a must watch that will raise your IQ level

$BTC $MSTR $MARA $MTPLF $BMAX https://t.co/XVCdLHLlL2

GOLD CARD: Secretary Lutnick announced he sold 1,000 $5M gold cards in just one day - before launching the official website generating $5B in revenue.

 https://t.co/V0YP370pED

Friday, March 21st, 2025
EVENING NEWSFLASH 🔥 

Howard Lutnick says 1000 Gold Card Visas at $5 million each were sold in a single day. $5 billion in revenue in just 1 day.

Trump announced the revocation of temporary legal status for approximately 530,000 individuals.
🇺🇸
WINNING https://t.co/yeqJv3g8CJ

INTEL: U.S. pocketed $5 billion in a single day by selling 1,000 Gold Card visas for $5 million each, as revealed by Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.

What if the US used the gold card revenue to buy Bitcoin 👀

🚨NEW: U.S. Generates $5 Billion in One Day by Selling 1,000 Gold Card Visas at $5M Each.

The nonsense @howardlutnick is spouting here is remarkable. Ignoring the fact that creating a “gold card” immigration program without Congress is highly illegal, he claims to have already sold 1,000 cards while also stating that the program has yet to launch because “Elon is https://t.co/zx2dLsfKUF

U.S. commerce secretary Howard Lutnick says there are 37 million in the world who could qualify and afford a $5 million trump gold card. https://t.co/FQZm7F4Sg5

From The Desk Of Anthony Pompliano

0:00 Intro
0:25 Can The US Gold Card Save America?
3:07  Robots Are Coming Fast!
7:15 Financing Burritos

Enjoy! https://t.co/1UGtyb0YxT

That’s 5 BILLION dollars! I didn’t realize the gold card was going to be so popular. https://t.co/m6Z7fJYxIp

🚨BREAKING: Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick just announced they have sold 1,000 Gold Cards for $5 million each this WEEK!

There are 37,000,000 people in the world who are capable of buying the card. POTUS thinks we can sell a million

The Trump Effect!
https://t.co/i1uCNlYooq

Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced he sold 1,000 Gold Cards in one day. Gold Card priced at $5 million each. Program generated total revenue of $5 billion in one day.  200,000 Trump Gold Cards could contribute $1 trillion towards reducing the national debt.

Trump has sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $ 5 million each in a single day - Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick. That's $5 billion in revenue from just one day!
Wow.

BREAKING: The United States sold 1,000 Gold Card visas worth $5m each in a single day, according to Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick @howardlutnick 

That's $5 billion in revenue from one single day.

One very interesting detail he mentioned was that unlike the EB-5 program, the Gold Card would be territorial taxation, not worldwide. This is a huge difference for this wealth bracket. https://t.co/UHnTnSDQ9J

Donald Trump's 'Gold Card' Visa Program Already Has 250,000 Applicants - Newsweek https://t.co/917PI31fvC

Elon Musk's DOGE is supporting the initiative by developing the necessary technology to facilitate its rollout.

Elon's Support

Donald Trump has proposed launching a "gold card" program offering US residency for $5 million. Elon Musk’s DOGE has begun rolling out the technology to enable it. https://t.co/mjiuV7Ia6F

EB-5 vs Gold Card: What lies ahead for US investment immigration?

https://t.co/U954zPqQ8i

Opinion | EB-5 investor program and Gold Card: America’s economic secret weapons @WashTimesOpEd

https://t.co/P6kOPRccKo https://t.co/jRmLrFZXyD

Gold Card Immigration: Creating Jobs, Cutting the Deficit https://t.co/0R8ZleHGyo

Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey suggested using Bitcoin to fund the initiative, potentially easing financial transactions for high-net-worth applicants and boosting crypto reserves.

Funded with Bitcoin?

Chinese nationals will just purchase the Trump gold card for 5 million and buy up farmland here as American citizens. 25 D chess. https://t.co/p1h074Tabi

If the Trump "Gold Card" plan for affluent migrants is moving forward, there’s no reason we can't enact a reasonable program that imposes a fine and offers a pathway to permanent residency for the vast majority of hardworking, entrepreneurial, and law-abiding families among the

Bitcoin Magazine’s CEO suggests using Bitcoin to fund Trump’s $5 million Gold Card residency program https://t.co/eRUhXyIEa6

🔑 Bitcoin &amp; The Gold Card

David Bailey has proposed using #Bitcoin to fund the Trump administration’s Gold Card program. 

This could allow high-net-worth individuals to pay $5 million for U.S. residency.

Is this a win for crypto? Or a new path for the wealthy? https://t.co/akuAYBhlsC

Perhaps it will workout the same way, as Trump's 5 million USD to purchase US green card (sorry, Trump Gold card) plan😃 https://t.co/NrYirdiVEp

Last week, Trump announced his “gold card” program, and the Left immediately flipped out and said the program would be used by people who don’t share American values.

This week, Democrats are all defending a green card holder that doesn’t share American values.

You can’t make

💰 Trump’s ‘gold card’ plan: $5M fast-track to U.S. citizenship? 💰

Donald Trump is pitching a bold new idea—selling $5 million "gold cards" to wealthy immigrants, offering them a fast track to U.S. citizenship. He claims that selling 10 million cards could generate $50 https://t.co/iJGkUO45hB

Trump’s Gold Card: A New Path to US Citizenship

Read More: https://t.co/6Dlgs7GGse

#ARYNews https://t.co/rziZUKlplH

🔥 Hot: 💰Trade Bitcoin for Trump’s “Gold Card”? 🤔

BTC Inc. CEO David Bailey suggests merging Bitcoin with Trump’s plan—boost crypto reserves at zero cost!

He notes that elites struggle to move $5M abroad, but Bitcoin offers a safer, discreet solution. If adopted, it would

Trump’ın “Gold Card” Vizesine Bitcoin Entegrasyonu Gündemde: ABD Oturumu İçin BTC Önerisi!

https://t.co/5aIV4JXCIR https://t.co/TKSzPmlWo9

In furtherance of President @realDonaldTrump's immigration agenda, we are expanding our advisory services to include consulting on the #EB5 visa and the proposed Gold Card. 

The EB-5 visa program is still law and grants foreign nationals and their families a visa, work permit, https://t.co/7SouDZFJuX

Trump is proposing a US$5 million ‘Gold Card’ citizenship program. Could a similar plan work for Canada? https://t.co/FzgZTjtEZ6 https://t.co/WqZcHUEwAd

Trump is proposing a US$5 million ‘Gold Card’ citizenship program. Could a similar plan work for Canada? https://t.co/yjKeuq8578 https://t.co/F0xfqgbFZj

Bitcoin Magazine CEO David Bailey has proposed to the Trump administration that the US fund the Gold Card program using Bitcoin, suggesting it as a solution for high-net-worth individuals facing challenges in transferring $5 million through traditional fiat channels.

David Bailey, CEO of #BTC Inc. and one of the attendees of the Trump Administration’s #crypto summit, stated that there should be a path for paying for the proposed “gold card” with #bitcoin. This would allow the country to add to its recently formed strategic #Bitcoin reserve https://t.co/tpthvNnUuA

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump golfs on over 25% of days between January 20 and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve according to https://trumpgolftrack.com as of January 2, 2026, 12:00 PM. However, definitive photo or video evidence confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting may also be used to supplement the tally if the trumpgolftrack.com tally is incomplete. 

 


Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits a listed country between January 15 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET, the relevant market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between February 18, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is formally removed from the office of the President of the United States by means of the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment to the US Constitution by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the Vice President becomes Acting President via the process outlined in Section 3 of the 25th Amendment, it will not effect the resolution of this market. Only Trump’s removal from office via the process outlined in Section 4 of the 25th Amendment will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

If Trump ceases to be POTUS before this market's expiration date for any other reason, this market may immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government.

Trump removed via 25th Amendment in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump cabinet member out in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that creates a ‘DOGE dividend’ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any cash transfer, tax credit, or other comparable financial transfer which is referred to as a DOGE dividend, or which is otherwise directly funded by savings created by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will qualify.  

Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025? 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases any files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein, which weren’t previously public between August 25 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only files which were created prior to the start of the Trump Administration (January 20, 2025, 12:00 PM ET) will qualify. 

Announcements of declassifications or releases that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that explicitly eliminates federal income taxes for individuals earning less than $150,000 per year in the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Legislation which includes specific exceptions where federal income tax remains applicable for specified groups (whether by income, occupation, or other criteria) will still qualify, as long as the primary outcome of the law is the removal of federal income tax for individuals earning under $150,000. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. If it becomes impossible for Trump to sign legislation/perform executive actions (e.g., he resigns), this market will resolve to "No".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Trump removes income tax on individuals making <$150k?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump or his administration officially announces that the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will be terminated before its currently scheduled end date of July 4, 2026, at any point on or before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official policy announcements will qualify.

Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, restructuring announcements that do not specify termination, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal announcement of early termination will not be considered.

The resolution source will be official announcements from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. 

Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Trump announce run for 3rd term?

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes 750,000 or more non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used. 

Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the maximum individual tax rate below 37% at any point between January 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.



Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?

During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) removes between 250,000 (inclusive) and 500,000 (exclusive) non citizens in the 2025 fiscal year. Otherwise, this market ill resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2025 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used. 

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States between July 25, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Th Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) buys any amount of $TRUMP (https://solscan.io/token/6p6xgHyF7AeE6TZkSmFsko444wqoP15icUSqi2jfGiPN), either directly or through a subsidiary, between July 21, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be announcements through official information from TMTG, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump Media buy $TRUMP in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in September?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump publicly claims that any of the moon landings were faked by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The claim must come directly from Trump via a verified social media account, official public statement, or during a recorded interview, speech, or rally. Indirect remarks, jokes, or quotes taken out of context will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be statements made by Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used to confirm the legitimacy of such statements.

Trump says Moon Landing faked in 2025?

On September 19, 2025, Donald Trump announced a $100,000 payment requirement for H-1B visa petitions in the Presidential Proclamation “Restriction on Entry of Certain Nonimmigrant Workers,” set to take effect on September 21, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action which pauses, delays, or removes the $100,000 H-1B visa petition fee by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

Actions which remove the $100,000 H-1B visa petition fee will qualify even if other conditions, exceptions, or requirements for H-1B visas remain in place. However, lowering the fee below $100,000 without removing it will not qualify.

As it pertains to pauses, delays, or removals of the $100,000 fee, judicial or other actions not initiated by the Trump administration, which ban or block the listed fee, will not alone qualify. However, if the Trump administration — including any executive branch agency such as the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) or the Department of State — pauses, delays, removes, or otherwise ceases enforcement of the listed fee in compliance with a court order, this will qualify even if not publicly announced or formalized by legislation or an executive order.

Any action which is officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the removal goes into effect.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

Will Trump pause/remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump announce their intention to divorce between December 31, 2024 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by December 31, 2025 of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market.

The resolution source will be statements from Donald Trump and/or Melania Trump , and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.

Trump divorce in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between January 20 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Will Trump be impeached in 2025?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits North Korea between August 4 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorses for the 2025 NYC Mayor election.

If Trump does not announce an endorsement by  November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No endorsement".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that Donald Trump has visited visited Little Saint James by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place Trump on the island.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.


Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public in 2025?

On August 18, 2025, President Donald J. Trump announced his commitment to eliminate mail-in voting and voting machines in U.S. elections, ahead of the 2026 midterms.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that inhibits mail-in voting or voting machines from use for the 2026 midterm election by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Any executive action or legislation that restricts, limits, or prohibits the use of mail-in voting or voting machines in any way will qualify, even if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions.

This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to establish a de minimis tax exemption on cryptocurrency transactions by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.

If the tax exemption only applies for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Trump enacts a de minimis crypto tax exemption before 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between April 14 and December 31 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.

Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the next individual that it is announced will leave the Trump Cabinet, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None in 2025”.

An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name is alphabetically first.

For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.

An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.

If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position (e.g. Mike Waltz) will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. 

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.


Will None in 2025 occur?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Eric Adams to his administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point between January 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.



Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump issues a presidential veto of any bill by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official congressional records and a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump veto a bill in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs a bill into law or performs any executive action changing US tax law to eliminate capital gains tax on any cryptocurrency assets by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Such a bill must apply to US taxpaying persons in general; if a law applies only to specific companies or institutions, it will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market.

If capital gains is eliminated only for specific types or classes of crypto assets (e.g., only Bitcoin or Ethereum, only American issued cryptocurrencies, or only NFTs), it will still count toward a "Yes" resolution for this market.

If the bill is signed into law, or executive action is instituted before the resolution date, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of when it takes effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Changpeng Zhao receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?

Trump's Treasury Secretary pick Scott Bessent has floated the idea of Trump naming a successor to Jerome Powell to serve as a "shadow chair", prior to the end of Powell's term, scheduled for May 2026. (see: https://www.nbcwashington.com/news/business/money-report/fed-chair-jerome-powell-can-serve-remainder-of-term-says-trumps-treasury-pick-bessent/3788991/).

This market will resolve to according the individual Donald Trump announces as his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next Federal Reserve Chair by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement by December 31".  

The resolution source for this market will be official information form Donald Trump or one of his official representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends 2025 MLB World Series Finals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the event is canceled, postponed beyond or otherwise doesn't take place by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance within the stadium during any part of any of the games in the series.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump wins the 2025 Nobel Peace prize. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump wins the prize along with another person/entity, this market will resolve to "Yes".

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.

An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark , however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.

Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the owner of Trump Burger, Roland Beainy, is officially deported from the United States by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Roland Beainy from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0
$846,411 Vol.
62%
0123456789
%

1-100
$444,189 Vol.
18%
0123456789
%

101-1k
$305,843 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

1k-2.5k
$135,014 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

2.5k-5k
$200,311 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

5k-10k
$320,712 Vol.
2%

10k-25k
$277,330 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

25k-100k
$321,776 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

>100k
$379,491 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Rules

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

About

Related

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

0$846,411 Vol.62%0123456789%

1-100$444,189 Vol.18%0123456789%

101-1k$305,843 Vol.8%0123456789%

1k-2.5k$135,014 Vol.4%0123456789%

2.5k-5k$200,311 Vol.3%0123456789%

5k-10k$320,712 Vol.2%

10k-25k$277,330 Vol.2%0123456789%

25k-100k$321,776 Vol.3%0123456789%

>100k$379,491 Vol.2%0123456789%

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Rules

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

Market Context

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

About

Related

0
$846,411 Vol.
62%
0123456789
%

1-100
$444,189 Vol.
18%
0123456789
%

101-1k
$305,843 Vol.
8%
0123456789
%

1k-2.5k
$135,014 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

2.5k-5k
$200,311 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

5k-10k
$320,712 Vol.
2%

10k-25k
$277,330 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

25k-100k
$321,776 Vol.
3%
0123456789
%

>100k
$379,491 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%