Zohran Mamdani 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?
$67,015 Vol.
32+% 100.0%
<24% <1%
24–28% <1%
28–32% <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
RESULT
<24%
$7,303 Vol.
No
<24%
$7,303 Vol.
No
24–28%
$9,727 Vol.
No
24–28%
$9,727 Vol.
No
28–32%
$10,257 Vol.
No
28–32%
$10,257 Vol.
No
32+%
$39,728 Vol.
Yes
32+%
$39,728 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve according to the first round ranked-choice vote share for Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City, scheduled for June 24, 2025.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the first RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official certified results of the first RCV round as published by the New York City Board of Elections.
If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.
Volume
$67,015
End Date
Jun 24, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$67,015 Vol.
Zohran Mamdani 1st round % of vote in NYC Dem mayoral primary?
32+% 100.0%
<24% <1%
24–28% <1%
28–32% <1%
<24%
$7,303 Vol.
No
24–28%
$9,727 Vol.
No
28–32%
$10,257 Vol.
No
32+%
$39,728 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$67,015
End Date
Jun 24, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.