Name: Will Sliwa endorse Eric Adams?
Start: 2025-06-26T20:11:04.177174Z
End: 2025-11-03T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Curtis Sliwa announces that he will vote for Eric Adams or endorses Adams for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 26, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Curtis Sliwa announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Curtis Sliwa or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Sliwa's endorsement.

Will Sliwa endorse Eric Adams?

This market will resolve to "Sliwa" if Curtis Sliwa receives more votes than Eric Adams in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election. 

This market will resolve to "Adams" if Eric Adams receives more votes than Curtis Sliwa in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If any named candidate publicly suspends or ends their campaign but remains on the certified ballot, the market will stay open and resolve according to the certified totals for both candidates. If one of the above-specified candidates is removed from the accredited ballot for any reason, this market will resolve to the candidate who remains on the ballot. If both candidates are taken off the accredited ballot simultaneously or if both candidates receive the exact same number of votes, this market will resolve 50-50.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.


Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Curtis Sliwa withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, by November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Curtis Sliwa or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams announces that he will vote for Andrew Cuomo or endorses Cuomo for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 25, and November 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If  Eric Adams announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Cuomo or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Cuomo's endorsement.

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Cuomo announces that he will vote for Eric Adams or endorses Adams for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 25, and November 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Andrew Cuomo announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Cuomo or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Cuomo's endorsement.

Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump announces that he will vote for Eric Adams or endorses Adams for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 26, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, by November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Adams or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Eric Adams drop out?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the vote share won by the listed candidate.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Adams or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Eric Adams drop out by October 15?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams finishes his term as Mayor of New York City without any interruptions. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will not resolve "Yes" until the office is successfully transferred from Adams to another person at the completion of his term, or until Adams is sworn into the office again at that time.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of New York, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Eric Adams finish his term as NYC mayor?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams is removed as the Mayor of New York City though any formal process, including by the Governor of New York, the New York City Council, through a criminal conviction, or any other non voluntary process before his current term, scheduled to end December 31, is completed. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Adams ceases to hold office for any length of time via a non-qualifying process, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will Eric Adams be removed as NYC mayor?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and explicitly endorses at least one person as a candidate for New York City mayor between June 25, and November 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

for the purpose of this market, An endorsement is defined as a clear, public statement that communicates Trump’s support for a specific individual to be elected mayor of New York City.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorses for the 2025 NYC Mayor election.

If Trump does not announce an endorsement by  November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No endorsement".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries announces that he will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between September 2, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Hakeem Jeffries announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Hakeem Jeffries or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Hakeem Jeffries's endorsement.

Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama announces that he will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 25, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Barack Obama announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barack Obama or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Obama's endorsement.

Will Obama endorse Mamdani?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Cuomo withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, by November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Cuomo or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Andrew Cuomo drop out?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate wins the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.




Will the Democratic candidate win the  NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris announces that she will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 26, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris announces that she will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kamala Harris or one of her representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Kamala Harris's endorsement.

Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?

The New York City mayoral general election is scheduled to occur on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani wins over 50% of the votes cast in the general election for Mayor of New York City in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no general election for Mayor of New York City occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City Board of Elections, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Andrew Cuomo and Zohran Mamdani participate in a scheduled televised debate by November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Cuomo x Mamdani debate before election?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Eric Adams to his administration by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Eric Adams join Trump administration by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount is initiated 2025 New York City Mayoral Election process by January 1, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed 2025 NYC mayoral election, and there are no formal or legal processes underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".
 
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is ordered by election authorities, whether automatically triggered by law, requested by a candidate, or ordered by a court. 

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities.

Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve based on whether Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorse the listed candidate in the election named in the title.

If Donald Trump does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Donald Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani receives the most votes in the 2025  New York City Mayoral election in the listed borough. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Eric Adams drop out first?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Stephen A. Smith announces that he is running for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Stephen A. Smith must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for President" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Stephen A. Smith (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Stephen A. Smith announce Presidential run in 2025?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the candidate candidate that wins the second most votes in this election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.

Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces that she is running for Senate in the 2026 midterm election, between April 14, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by AOC will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by AOC (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AOC announces senate run in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, between June 5, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

The New York State Gaming Facility Location Board is expected to announce its decision on awarding up to three new casino licenses by December.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed project is officially granted a license by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

An announcement alone will not count as a "Yes" resolution; only the issuance of an official license will qualify.

This market will resolve to "No" if the granting of such a license becomes impossible for a listed project, for example, if the application is officially declined.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York State Gaming Facility Location Board or another official representative of the State of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Steve Cohen and Seminole Hard Rock Entertainment receive a license for Metropolitan Park casino in Queens?

The 2025 Miami mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Miami.

Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?

The 2025 Seattle mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Seattle.

Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

The 2025 Jersey City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Jersey City.

Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

The 2025 New Orleans mayoral election will be held on October 11, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from New Orleans.

Will Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?

The 2025 Cleveland mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Cleveland.

Will Justin Bibb win the 2025 Cleveland mayoral election?

The 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Los Angeles.

Will Karen Bass win the 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate wins the 2025 special election for Texas's 18th Congressional District to replace former Representative Sylvester Turner. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". 

In the event of a runoff, this market's resolution will be based on the runoff's outcome. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Texas; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chelsea Clinton announces she will run for Congress, either the House or the Senate, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Chelsea Clinton or her representative(s); however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.


Will Chelsea Clinton announce run for congress by December 31?

The 2025 Boston mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Boston.

Will Michelle Wu win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if E.J. Antoni is confirmed as Commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Antoni’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Adam Schiff between August 20, and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hillary Clinton announces that she is running for President in the 2028 U.S. presidential election between May 5, 2025, 11:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Clinton must definitively state her intent to run (e.g., "I am running for President" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Hillary Clinton (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Hillary Clinton announce she's running for president in 2025?

This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Sliwa endorse Eric Adams?

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Will Sliwa endorse Eric Adams?

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Will Sliwa endorse Eric Adams?

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Will Sliwa endorse Eric Adams?

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