Who will replace Musk as Tesla CEO?
$320,701 Vol.
No CEO announced in 2025 97.0%
Tom Zhu 2.4%
William Li <1%
Drew Baglino <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
No CEO announced in 2025
$62,018 Vol.
97%
No CEO announced in 2025
$62,018 Vol.
97%
Tom Zhu
$14,426 Vol.
2%
Tom Zhu
$14,426 Vol.
2%
William Li
$6,309 Vol.
<1%
William Li
$6,309 Vol.
<1%
Drew Baglino
$12,607 Vol.
<1%
Drew Baglino
$12,607 Vol.
<1%
Herbert Diess
$10,925 Vol.
<1%
Herbert Diess
$10,925 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Su
$15,254 Vol.
<1%
Lisa Su
$15,254 Vol.
<1%
He Xiaopeng
$8,705 Vol.
<1%
He Xiaopeng
$8,705 Vol.
<1%
Tekedra Mawakana
$9,515 Vol.
<1%
Tekedra Mawakana
$9,515 Vol.
<1%
Zach Kirkhorn
$10,415 Vol.
<1%
Zach Kirkhorn
$10,415 Vol.
<1%
Mary Barra
$11,813 Vol.
<1%
Mary Barra
$11,813 Vol.
<1%
Jim Farley
$55,332 Vol.
<1%
Jim Farley
$55,332 Vol.
<1%
Andy Jassy
$10,015 Vol.
<1%
Andy Jassy
$10,015 Vol.
<1%
Gwynne Shotwell
$9,707 Vol.
<1%
Gwynne Shotwell
$9,707 Vol.
<1%
Li Bin
$6,906 Vol.
<1%
Li Bin
$6,906 Vol.
<1%
Dmitri Dolgov
$7,683 Vol.
<1%
Dmitri Dolgov
$7,683 Vol.
<1%
Omead Afshar
$17,623 Vol.
<1%
Omead Afshar
$17,623 Vol.
<1%
Dara Khosrowshahi
$17,418 Vol.
<1%
Dara Khosrowshahi
$17,418 Vol.
<1%
Lei Jun
$21,434 Vol.
<1%
Lei Jun
$21,434 Vol.
<1%
JB Straubel
$12,597 Vol.
<1%
JB Straubel
$12,597 Vol.
<1%
Rules
An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla.
The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.
Volume
$320,701
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...$320,701 Vol.
Who will replace Musk as Tesla CEO?
No CEO announced in 2025 97.0%
Tom Zhu 2.4%
William Li <1%
Drew Baglino <1%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE
No CEO announced in 2025
$62,018 Vol.
Tom Zhu
$14,426 Vol.
William Li
$6,309 Vol.
Drew Baglino
$12,607 Vol.
Herbert Diess
$10,925 Vol.
Lisa Su
$15,254 Vol.
He Xiaopeng
$8,705 Vol.
Tekedra Mawakana
$9,515 Vol.
Zach Kirkhorn
$10,415 Vol.
Mary Barra
$11,813 Vol.
Jim Farley
$55,332 Vol.
Andy Jassy
$10,015 Vol.
Gwynne Shotwell
$9,707 Vol.
Li Bin
$6,906 Vol.
Dmitri Dolgov
$7,683 Vol.
Omead Afshar
$17,623 Vol.
Dara Khosrowshahi
$17,418 Vol.
Lei Jun
$21,434 Vol.
JB Straubel
$12,597 Vol.
About
Volume
$320,701
End Date
Dec 31, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.