Market icon

Trump cabinet member out in 2025?

$52,159 Vol.

52% chance

Rules

Additional context

Updated Jun 26

We’re aware of the dispute on this market. If a clarification is to be issued, it will be at 2 PM ET. If no statement is issued at that time, then there will be no clarification by the Polymarket team. The orderbook will be cleared at 2 PM ET regardless of whether a clarification is made.

For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume

$52,159

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final review

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$52,159 Vol.

Market icon

Trump cabinet member out in 2025?

52% chance

About

Additional context

Updated Jun 26

We’re aware of the dispute on this market. If a clarification is to be issued, it will be at 2 PM ET. If no statement is issued at that time, then there will be no clarification by the Polymarket team. The orderbook will be cleared at 2 PM ET regardless of whether a clarification is made.

For the purpose of this market, a Cabinet level position is defined as the heads of the 15 executive departments, Administrator of the EPA, President’s Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP or any position listed on https://www.whitehouse.gov/administration/the-cabinet.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one cabinet-level Donald Trump appointee from his second term leaves their position by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Voluntary resignations, removals, retirements, or departures for any reason will count.

Announcements alone will not qualify toward this market's resolution. An individual must actually have left their cabinet-level position.

Temporary or acting officials will not count toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Volume

$52,159

End Date

Dec 31, 2025

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Outcome proposed: Yes

Disputed

Final review