This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel withdraws all forces from the Gaza Strip and ceases continuous ground operations, regardless of temporary actions by Israeli forces (e.g. raids).

Per the rules, “withdrawals into or behind designated buffer zones” may qualify. Recently reported ceasefire proposals as of July 22 (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/mediators-present-updated-gaza-ceasefire-proposal-israel-hamas-axios-reports-2025-07-17/) which limits Israeli military presence to narrow perimeter zones—approximately 1 km deep along Gaza’s borders—without ground operations, or military presence in urban areas, would qualify, if confirmed to have been completed. If Israel maintains a limited footprint in the Philadelphi Corridor which does not extend past the Rafah crossing (31.248486, 34.257643), this may qualify. However, continued control of corridors that bisect or partition Gaza—such as Netzarim or Morag—or continued Israeli military presence in urban areas, beyond agreed buffer zones will not qualify as a withdrawal to buffer zones, regardless of announcements from the Israeli military/government.

Per the previous clarification “If Israel maintains a limited footprint in the Philadelphi Corridor which does not extend past the Rafah crossing (31.248486, 34.257643), this may qualify. However, continued control of corridors that bisect or partition Gaza—such as Netzarim or Morag—… will not qualify". Accordingly, any continued occupation of the Philadelphi Corridor beyond the Rafah crossing (31.248486, 34.257643) will not qualify. During Israel’s partial withdrawal to buffer zones in February of 2025, Israel maintained control of the Philadelphi Corridor beyond the Rafah crossing. See: https://israelpalestine.liveuamap.com/en/time/28.02.2025; https://abcnews.go.com/International/israel-withdraw-philadelphi-corridor-stipulated-ceasefire/story; https://gisha.org/en/changes-to-the-gaza-buffer-zone-under-the-ceasefire-agreement/