Name: Elon Musk # of tweets in September?
Start: 2025-08-29T19:46:16.210343Z
End: 2025-10-01T04:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X in September (ET).

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. 

The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

<400

450–499

550–599

650–699

750–799

850–899

950–999

1050–1099

1150–1199

1250–1299

1350–1399

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1200–1249

1300–1349

1400–1449

1500+

Elon Musk # of tweets in September? 

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on September 30, 2025.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be Bloomberg, specifically the datapoint for September 30, once the data is finalized. If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.

Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @TheRoaringKitty posts between July 23, 10:40 AM ET, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, all quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but reposts will not count.

The resolution source for this market will be Roaring Kitty's verified X account: https://x.com/TheRoaringKitty.

Please note, only the @TheRoaringKitty verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Roaring Kitty posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Will Roaring Kitty tweet again by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk serves any time in custody in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between June 5, and  December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Trump jail Elon Musk?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 22, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and September 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (September 22-28)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Elon Musk to his administration between June 4, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration this year?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk attends any official UFC match between August 15 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Attending the event is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast says the listed term during the next YouTube video he posts after this market's creation. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Only mentions of terms directly stated by MrBeast will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or videos released elsewhere will not be considered.

Will MrBeast say "Million" during his next video?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 1, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Cuba" or "Portugal" or "Uganda" during September?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, between June 5, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Elon Musk will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Elon Musk (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is any rank other than #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index at any point between June 30, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If this source becomes permanently unavailable in that time period, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If both sources become permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk ceases to be CEO of Tesla for any length of time between March 12, and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Elon Musk's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Tesla and/or Elon Musk, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Musk out as Tesla CEO in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 15, 2025, 12:00 AM ET and September 21, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Golf" this week? (September 15-21)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $1 trillion at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.


Elon Musk trillionaire in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets over 55 million views in the first 24hrs after being posted between August 8 and September 30, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No".

Videos posted within the final 24 hours of this markets resolution date will qualify, and this market will remain open to allow for the full 24 hours to be completed. 

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.

Note: This market refers to MrBeast’s next YouTube video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

Will another MrBeast video get 55m+ day 1 views by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is officially deported from the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Deportation is defined as the formal removal of Elon Musk from the US by government authorities due to legal or administrative reasons. Voluntary departure, extradition, or relocation without an official deportation order will not count.

The resolution source will be credible reporting from major news outlets or official government statements.

Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?

On August 1, 2025, a Friday, MrBeast posted a video on his main YouTube channel, which breaks his usual pattern (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z4hVGCWH1Kc).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MrBeast posts a YouTube video on a weekday (Monday - Friday, ET) between August 19 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's main YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast).

Note: This market refers to MrBeast's regular posted videos. Shorts, previews, or videos on platforms other than YouTube will not be considered.

Will MrBeast post another video on a weekday by September 30?

This market will resolve based on the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees, as reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) under the "All Employees, Federal" series (CES9091000001), displayed here (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001)

This market will resolve according to the decrease in the seasonally adjusted number of federal employees between the December 2024 report and the December 2025 report.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The difference will be calculated as the December 2024 value minus the December 2025 value.

The December 2024 figure will be based on the initial December 2024 BLS Employment Situation report scheduled for release on January 3, 2025, and the initial December 2025 figure will be based on the report scheduled for release on January 9, 2026. Revisions made to these figures will not be considered, only the values reported in the initial reports will be used.

The resolution source will be the BLS Employment Situation data, specifically the series CES9091000001, available at https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001 or the official BLS website.


Will Elon and DOGE cut more than 200k employees in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led by him, enters into an agreement to buy OpenAI (or the nonprofit that controls OpenAI) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announced agreement between Elon Musk and OpenAI will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed.

An agreement to merge with an entity led by Elon Musk will count toward "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk, Sam Altman, and/or OpenAI however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MrBeast hosts another livestream which features himself, live, on Twitch, between September 2 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Note: This market refers to livestreams launched by MrBeast on his official, herein named channels. Any kind of pre-recorded videos or livestreams on other channels will not count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the named official MrBeast channel: https://www.twitch.tv/mrbeast6000


Another MrBeast Twitch livestream by September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X relaunches Vine by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Relaunching Vine" is defined as launching a platform and/or feature that performs similar functions to Vine, and is branded as a "relaunch of Vine" by Elon Musk or X itself. Note - the relaunch must be live and broadly accessible to the public before the resolution date for this market to resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source will be the Vine platform, as well as official information from Elon Musk and X, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

X relaunches Vine in 2025?

On February 28, Elon Musk posted that it was likely Starship would become fully reusable in 2025. You can see the X post here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1895598258225106984

This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note, this market refers to the Starship upper stage and does not require reusability for the Super-Heavy booster.

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is not necessary that an actual reuse occur, only that SpaceX or Elon Musk announces that Starship is fully reusable by this market's resolution date.

The resolution source for this market is announcements by Elon Musk and SpaceX, or their official representatives.

SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that xAI will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with Tesla (Tesla inc.) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement by xAI will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Tesla or xAI, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Tesla acquire xAI in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by December 31, 2025. 

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla.

The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

This market will resolve to the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2025, as of market close. 

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in September?

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Bilateral Meeting and Press Conference with the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom Keir Starmer on Thursday, September 18, 2025. (see: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at these events. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 18, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about the named, scheduled bilateral and press conference events with the UK Prime Minister (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). If a bilateral or multilateral lunch is scheduled and broadcast, it will also qualify toward this market's resolution. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named scheduled events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source will be video of the events.

Will Trump say "Hottest" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?

Donald Trump is scheduled to address the 80th UN General Assembly on Sept 23. You can read more about that here:
https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/global-trends/trump-to-address-80th-un-general-assembly-on-sept-23-white-house/articleshow/123575271.cms

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

This market is explicitly Donald Trump's scheduled UN address on September 23. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 24, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source is the video of the event.

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

750–799
$19,466 Vol.
<1%

800–849
$20,939 Vol.
<1%

850–899
$17,076 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

900–949
$14,350 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

950–999
$12,734 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

1000–1049
$14,620 Vol.
18%
0123456789
0123456789
%

1050–1099
$13,332 Vol.
31%
0123456789
%

1100–1149
$12,977 Vol.
30%
0123456789
%

1150–1199
$13,120 Vol.
9%
0123456789
0123456789
%

1200–1249
$9,956 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

1250–1299
$9,106 Vol.
5%

1300–1349
$9,345 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

1350–1399
$14,757 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

1400–1449
$18,085 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

1450–1499
$26,702 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

1500+
$46,041 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

Rules

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

Market Context

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

About

Related

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

750–799$19,466 Vol.<1%

800–849$20,939 Vol.<1%

850–899$17,076 Vol.2%0123456789%

900–949$14,350 Vol.2%0123456789%

950–999$12,734 Vol.4%0123456789%

1000–1049$14,620 Vol.18%01234567890123456789%

1050–1099$13,332 Vol.31%0123456789%

1100–1149$12,977 Vol.30%0123456789%

1150–1199$13,120 Vol.9%01234567890123456789%

1200–1249$9,956 Vol.7%0123456789%

1250–1299$9,106 Vol.5%

1300–1349$9,345 Vol.4%0123456789%

1350–1399$14,757 Vol.1%0123456789%

1400–1449$18,085 Vol.2%0123456789%

1450–1499$26,702 Vol.1%0123456789%

1500+$46,041 Vol.1%0123456789%

Market Context

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

Rules

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

Market Context

Elon Musk # of tweets in September?

About

Related

750–799
$19,466 Vol.
<1%

800–849
$20,939 Vol.
<1%

850–899
$17,076 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

900–949
$14,350 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

950–999
$12,734 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

1000–1049
$14,620 Vol.
18%
0123456789
0123456789
%

1050–1099
$13,332 Vol.
31%
0123456789
%

1100–1149
$12,977 Vol.
30%
0123456789
%

1150–1199
$13,120 Vol.
9%
0123456789
0123456789
%

1200–1249
$9,956 Vol.
7%
0123456789
%

1250–1299
$9,106 Vol.
5%

1300–1349
$9,345 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

1350–1399
$14,757 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

1400–1449
$18,085 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

1450–1499
$26,702 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

1500+
$46,041 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%