Name: Colombia Senate Election Winner
Start: 2025-07-29T17:19:34.301604Z
End: 2026-03-08T06:00:00Z

test_feature

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

mobile_trading_v2

authenticated_book_ws

in_game_sports_trading

preferred_sports_odds_format

live_chat

buy_sell_widget_v3

mobile_buy_sell_widget_v3

sell_on_portfolio

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

march_madness_2025

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Improved websocket for market trade data.

live_data_clob_market_websocket

live_data_clob_user_websocket

funkit_withdraw

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Senate.

If voting in the Colombian Senate election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Pacto Histórico (PH)

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)

Centro Democrático (CD)

Cambio Radical (CR)

Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U)

Comunes (COM)

Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA)

Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS)

Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO)

Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA)

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.

If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies as a result of the upcoming election.

If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of held won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Argentina's government (e.g. via https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php).

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of the seats that are contested in this election.

If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. 

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Argentina's government (e.g. via https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php).

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the Senate following the 2026 U.S. Senate elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.

Senate control is defined as having more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice Presidency.

If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Majority Leader of the US Senate is selected following the 2026 US general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the majority leader is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected majority leader does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.

Determination of which party controls the Senate after the 2026 US Senate elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from South Carolina.

If no 2026 South Carolina Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the South Carolina Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic. 

If voting in the next Czech election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- ANO wins the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election
- Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga wins the 2025 Bolivia presidential election
- LLA wins the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election
- Party for Freedom wins the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/right+1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/right+2.png

Elections go right: October

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.

If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

This market will resolve according to the result of the 2026 United States midterm elections.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the House of Representatives, if they win a majority of voting seats.

A party will be considered to have 'control' of the Senate if they have more than half of the voting Senate members, or half of the voting Senate members and the Vice President.

A candidate's party is determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican Parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time the 2026 United States midterm elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

If control of the House is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Speaker of the US House who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections. 

If control of the Senate is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will resolve according to the party affiliation of the first Majority Leader of the US Senate who is selected following the 2026 United States midterm elections.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called winners of the House and Senate in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.

House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.

If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.

Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on September 28, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the parliament of the Republic of Moldova (Parlamentul Republicii Moldova) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Moldova election for the parliament does not occur by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Moldova (Comisia Electorală Centrală, CEC) (https://a.cec.md/en).

Will the Party of Action and Solidarity win the most seats in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election?

The 2025 Chilean general election is scheduled for 16 November 2025. The President of Chile is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Chilean presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Côte d'Ivoire on October 25, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ivorian government, specifically the Independent Electoral Commission (Commission Électorale Indépendante, CEI) (https://www.cei.ci/).

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. 

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republcian party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the second most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the third most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Will the GreenLeft–Labour Party alliance win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

The 2025 Cameroonian presidential election is scheduled to occur on October 12, 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Cameroonian presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based off the official announcement of the election results from the Cameroonian Government, specifically Elections Cameroon (ELECAM). In the case this election is contested, the final decision of the Constitutional Council of Cameroon will be this market's resolution source.

Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?

The 2025 Chilean general election is scheduled for November 16, 2025. The President of Chile is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Seychelles on September 27, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Seychellois government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Seychelles (ECS) (https://ecs.sc/).

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the fourth most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announce they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).

Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Spain snap election called in 2025?

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Calabria, Italy, on October 5-6, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Calabria (Regione Calabria – Dipartimento Transizione Digitale e Attività Strategiche, https://www.regione.calabria.it/dipartimento-transizione-digitale-ed-attivita-strategiche/aree-tematiche/elezioni-2025/).

Will Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the the Federal Senate (Senado Federal) votes to proceed with any impeachment of Minister of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil Alexandre de Moraes by December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of the first such vote the Senate undertakes (e.g., if the Federal Senate decides to vote on the impeachment of Alexandre de Moraes and it fails to pass, this market will resolve to "No").

This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as the Senate successfully votes to proceed with this impeachment, regardless of the impeachment's outcome.

If it becomes impossible to impeach Alexandre de Moraes while he is in his role as Minister (e.g., he resigns) and the "Yes" condition has not yet been met, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of Brazil, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announces that she is running for Senate in the 2026 midterm election, between April 14, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by AOC will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether she actually filed a nomination to run, or whether she actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by AOC (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or her official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AOC announces senate run in 2025?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?

The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Romanian parliamentary election is officially scheduled between July 10 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market is about whether a date for the next Romanian parliamentary election is formally announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?

The 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election is scheduled to be held on Tuesday, November 4, 2025, to elect the 100 members of the 164th Virginia General Assembly.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Democratic Party in the Virginia House of Delegates as a result of the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election. 

If voting in the next Virginia House of Delegates election does not occur by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Democratic Party.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Virginia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Democrats win between 55 and 59 seats in the 2025 Virginia House of Delegates election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Brazil Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces that he is running for President of Brazil in the 2026 presidential election, between August 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Lula will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Lula (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA) in the House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Christian Democratic Appeal (CDA).

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Will CDA win 22–24 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The ruling coalition of the Netherlands collapsed on June 3, 2025. New parliamentary elections are expected to be scheduled soon.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by GroenLinks–PvdA in the House of Representatives as a result of this election.

If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by GroenLinks–PvdA.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/).

Will GroenLinks–PvdA win 26–28 seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


French election called by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Michigan.

If no 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Michigan Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Moldova on September 28, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the PAS (Party of Action and Solidarity; Partidul Acțiune și Solidaritate) compared with the second place party. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of party list votes received by PAS and the second-place party. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the 2025 Moldova parliamentary election. 

If the PAS does not win a plurality of party list votes, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. 

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Central Electoral Commission of the Republic of Moldova (Comisia Electorală Centrală, CEC) (https://a.cec.md/en).

Will PAS win by between 8-12% of the vote?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will STAČILO! get between 5% and 8% of the vote in the Czech election?

Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Tuscany on October 12-13, 2025. If no candidate for President of Tuscany is elected with more than 40% of the votes in the first round of this election, a run-off will be held fourteen days later.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Tuscany (Regione Toscana – Consiglio regionale, https://www.regione.toscana.it/osservatorio-elettorale).

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Pacto Histórico (PH)
$3,990 Vol.
36%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)
$599 Vol.
14%
0123456789
%

Centro Democrático (CD)
$1,313 Vol.
12%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$1,024 Vol.
9%
0123456789
%

Cambio Radical (CR)
$591 Vol.
7%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)
$62,085 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA)
$350 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA)
$2,529 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Comunes (COM)
$242 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U)
$488 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS)
$448 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO)
$295 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Market Context

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Rules

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Market Context

Colombia Senate Election Winner

About

Related

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Pacto Histórico (PH)$3,990 Vol.36%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)$599 Vol.14%0123456789%

Centro Democrático (CD)$1,313 Vol.12%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)$1,024 Vol.9%0123456789%

Cambio Radical (CR)$591 Vol.7%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)$62,085 Vol.4%0123456789%

Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA)$350 Vol.2%0123456789%

Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA)$2,529 Vol.2%0123456789%

Comunes (COM)$242 Vol.2%0123456789%

Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U)$488 Vol.2%0123456789%

Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS)$448 Vol.2%0123456789%

Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO)$295 Vol.2%0123456789%

Market Context

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Rules

Colombia Senate Election Winner

Market Context

Colombia Senate Election Winner

About

Related

Pacto Histórico (PH)
$3,990 Vol.
36%

Partido Conservador Colombiano (PCC)
$599 Vol.
14%
0123456789
%

Centro Democrático (CD)
$1,313 Vol.
12%

Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC)
$1,024 Vol.
9%
0123456789
%

Cambio Radical (CR)
$591 Vol.
7%

Alianza Verde / Coalición Centro Esperanza (AV/CCE)
$62,085 Vol.
4%
0123456789
%

Colombia Justa Libres – MIRA (CJL/MIRA)
$350 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Liga de Gobernantes Anticorrupción (LIGA)
$2,529 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Comunes (COM)
$242 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Partido de la U – Partido de la Unión por la Gente (U)
$488 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Movimiento Alternativo Indígena y Social (MAIS)
$448 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%

Autoridades Indígenas de Colombia (AICO)
$295 Vol.
2%
0123456789
%