Name: Chile Presidential Election
Start: 2025-05-05T23:52:31.690617Z
End: 2025-11-16T12:00:00Z

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Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Jeannette Jara

Jaime Mulet

Carolina Tohá

Gonzalo Winter

Eduardo Artés

Félix González

Johannes Kaiser

José Antonio Kast

Evelyn Matthei

Francesca Muñoz

Ximena Rincón

Michelle Bachelet

Marco Enríquez-Ominami

Franco Parisi

Alberto Undurraga

Chile Presidential Election

Evelyn Matthei emerges as the leading candidate in the latest CEP survey for the Chilean presidential race, closely followed by José Antonio Kast and Johannes Kaiser. Her coalition, ChileVamos, faces criticism for supporting new taxes on street vendors, while Matthei also critiques the government for withdrawing urgency on a key security law.

Matthei Leads Presidential Polls

Marcel no cometió ningún error: desmintió con datos de su gestión a Evelyn Matthei, como corresponde cuando alguien le miente al país. https://t.co/79ImUq74WL

Vean aquí a los infelices de ChileVamos (RN , UDI, Evopoli) la coalicion de la zurda Evelyn Matthei, votando a favor de cobrar impuestos a los feriantes , junto a la izquierda miserable 😡 https://t.co/QdPwbXeT3E

Encuesta CEP, madre de todas las encuestas en evaluaciones positivas y negativas;

- Evelyn Matthei 40/ 31

- José Antonio Kast 31/ 43

- Johannes Kaiser 32 / 43

- Carolina Toha 21/ 46

- Jeannette Jara 28/ 39

Evelynes la única candidata que  tiene más aprobación que rechazo. https://t.co/IklXZn42Up

🔴 Tomás Vodanovic se instala como el político mejor evaluado en la Encuesta CEP por sobre Evelyn Matthei https://t.co/zmiZNLjUlA https://t.co/nsC3PoEubv

🚨Chilenos, Chilevamos votó a FAVOR de meterle MAS IMPUESTOS y DESTRUIR las ferias libres en Chile, si, esas ferias donde compramos nuestras frutas y verduras.

🔴Prueba IRREFUTABLE que Chilevamos NO es de derecha, Evelyn Matthei será la CONTINUACIÓN de BORIC https://t.co/LK2H1xWbm5

Impresentable. El gobierno cedió ante la izquierda radical y retiró la urgencia a la ley de Reglas de Uso de la Fuerza.

Mientras la inseguridad angustia a millones, el gobierno de @GabrielBoric sigue postergando lo esencial: darle respaldo legal a las policías para proteger a https://t.co/JhhWLf2Y6U

Lo ocurrido hoy en #LaCisterna refleja el descontrol que afecta a miles de chilenos. No son comerciantes, son mafias que agreden a Carabineros y trabajadores. En #Providencia recuperamos el orden y lo mismo haremos en todo Chile. Basta de mafias. Mano firme, sin miedo. https://t.co/Wh9OEJB9lz

Cuatro puntos distancian a la candidata presidencial de ChileVamos, Evelyn Matthei, con el lider republicano, José Antonio Kast a la hora de preguntar "¿quién le gustaría a usted que fuera la o el próximo Presidente de Chile?". https://t.co/E62wfcQobn https://t.co/7lzk6A2sxA

CEP: Evelyn Matthei lidera las preferencias para convertirse en la próxima presidenta y Tohá está por debajo de Kaiser

https://t.co/tRYpXB04on

🎯 Encuesta CEP: Kast y Matthei lideran mientras Boric se desploma 📉🇨🇱

📊 ¡Impacto total! La nueva encuesta CEP revela que José Antonio Kast y Evelyn Matthei lideran las preferencias presidenciales, mientras la aprobación de Gabriel Boric cae estrepitosamente. Más del 30% de https://t.co/JUzojUgYLD

Johannes Kaiser dice que está esperando que Evelyn Matthei y José Antonio Kast se bajen para que el quede solo 🤡.

Este hombre, al igual que sus hermanos, tienen el ego en las nubes. No existe la palabra 'humildad' en la familia Kaiser. 

https://t.co/N8DkI5BqtP

Encuesta CEP

-Evelyn Matthei 15%
-José Antonio Kast 11%
-Johannes Kaiser 6%
-Carolina Tohá 4%
-Jeannette Jara 1%
-Gonzalo Winter 1%
-Franco Parisi 1% https://t.co/9wgtRLxQbq

Encuesta CEP: Evelyn Matthei lidera opción presidencial y es seguida por José Antonio Kast y Johannes Kaiser

Más detalles acá⬇️

https://t.co/6Uzrs6UIlw

🚨 Encuesta CEP: Enorme cantidad de Indecisos ante la elección presidencial, y dentro de los decididos, lidera 🔵Evelyn Matthei, seguido de 🔵Kast y ⚫️Kaiser. https://t.co/nCMFAueiT7

Cadem: Carolina Tohá sube al tercer lugar mientras Evelyn Matthei se mantiene como líder en la encuesta https://t.co/gCFxuj8byd

José Antonio Kast sharply criticizes President Gabriel Boric, accusing his government of being out of control and urging him to stop improvising and start governing effectively. Meanwhile, recent polls show Kast and Evelyn Matthei leading in voter preferences, especially among immigrants, with Kast also proposing strict immigration policies like closing borders and ending social benefits for newcomers.

Kast Criticizes Boric Government

El debate lo dejó claro:
 unos quieren mantener el pantano burocrático, nosotros queremos secarlo.
José Antonio Kast fue el único que habló de soluciones reales.
Con suelo, inversión y libertad para construir. https://t.co/y7wPDQMHWf

Hay muchas encuestas dando vuelta, pero la única encuesta que vale es la elección de noviembre. Seguimos trabajando en el proyecto que nos permitirá recuperar y reconstruir Chile. https://t.co/A2dmoi6yqv

Este gobierno está completamente fuera de control.
Presidente Boric: deje de improvisar y póngase a gobernar.
#CaosTotal https://t.co/v841cbOVNV

🚨 Kast a Boric: “Deje de improvisar y póngase a gobernar” | ¡El gobierno está fuera de control! 🔥🇨🇱

José Antonio Kast lanza una dura crítica al Presidente Gabriel Boric, acusando a su gobierno de estar completamente fuera de control.

Con firmeza, Kast exige que Boric deje de https://t.co/gjgwj08WOE

🔴 Encuesta @icsoUDP

Consultada la muestra sobre las próximas elecciones, el 23% indicó que le gustaría que la próxima presidenta fuese Evelyn Matthei, seguido de José Antonio Kast (19%), Carolina Tohá (11%), Johannes Kaiser (10%), Jeannette Jara (6%), Franco Parisi (5%), https://t.co/6dnb3FIkKU

José Antonio Kast: “Vamos a cerrar las fronteras. No entrará nadie más. Chile va a dejar de ser atractivo porque todos los beneficios sociales para los que vengan ya no van a existir.” https://t.co/xlDJlABpFf

PanelCiudadanoUDD reveló que José Antonio Kast y Evelyn
Matthei concentran el 70% de las preferencias entre inmigrantes habilitados para votar en las presidenciales.
Kast obtiene un 37,8% y Matthei un 32,2% entre quienes ya tienen una preferencia.
Les sigue Johannes Kaiser. https://t.co/IfxjNw5Qtv

Encuesta ICSO/UDP: Se ratifica la tendencia del liderazgo de 🔵José Antonio Kast en los más jóvenes. https://t.co/HJQqmD8VgR

Encuesta Panel Ciudadano: 🔵José Antonio Kast pasa a liderar en el voto inmigrante, y la 🔵Derecha sumada logra el 61% en este voto. https://t.co/2ZD7NVrpub

🔵POLÍTICA | Según el estudio de Panel Ciudadano UDD correspondiente a mayo, los candidatos presidenciales José Antonio Kast y Evelyn Matthei concentran el 70% de los votos migrantes.

https://t.co/zVIFwYrRfB

Según publicaciones en X, una encuesta de Panel Ciudadano-UDD indica que un 59% de los inmigrantes en Chile apoya a Evelyn Matthei, José Antonio Kast y Johannes Kaiser, mientras que solo un 22% prefiere a candidatos de izquierda. En una encuesta anterior de mayo 2024, Kast https://t.co/MUvrcgPV6T

Nueva encuesta Icso-UDP: Evelyn Matthei lidera con 23%, la sigue José Antonio Kast con 19% y Johannes Kaiser cae al 10%. https://t.co/zugeJZdurX

En el debate de la Cámara Chilena de la Construcción, los comandos de Evelyn Matthei, José Antonio Kast y Johannes Kaiser hicieron un balance positivo por los “acercamientos” de sus abanderados en cuanto a las propuestas. 

https://t.co/wTuu28m0gg

José Antonio Kast, a prominent Chilean presidential candidate, is under fire as his party’s mayor, Eduardo Espinoza, is accused of traveling abroad while on medical leave, contradicting Kast's earlier stance against such actions. Meanwhile, Evelyn Matthei leads in presidential polls, closely followed by Kast, amid growing concerns over corruption and transparency in Chilean politics.

Kast Faces Political Scandal

Las encuestas pasan, los proyectos quedan. Seguimos trabajando con convicción y responsabilidad para ofrecerle a Chile una alternativa de cambio radical y real, que permita recuperar la seguridad, reconstruir la economía y llenar a Chile de esperanza hacia el futuro. https://t.co/hIiGbIUtel

🔴 Hace unos días José Antonio Kast pidió la cabeza de todos los funcionarios públicos que habían viajado al extranjero utilizando licencias médicas. 

Hoy contraloría da cuenta que Eduardo Espinoza, alcalde republicano de Macul, salió de Chile estando con licencia médica. 

¿Qué https://t.co/atWlftoCA6

🔴 ¿Por qué ningún medio va a preguntar a José Antonio Kast por su alcalde Eduardo Espinoza Gaete que viajo fuera de Chile estando con Licencia?

Porque José Antonio Kast se escapo a Europa mientras pasa la tormenta. ¿Valentía, transparencia y patriotismo? No, no hay nada de eso

¿$260 mil por pintar un metro cuadrado? ¡#NoEsNormal!

Eso pagó el Estado a ProCultura con plata de todos los chilenos.

Es corrupción. Vamos a terminar con estos abusos y a cuidar cada peso. Chile merece transparencia. https://t.co/llfuV77wtJ

🔴 Al parecer hasta aquí llegó la candidatura de José Antonio Kast.

🔴 Una cosa es que el único alcalde de Republicanos sea descubierto viajando fuera de Chile cuando estaba haciendo uso de una licencia médica. 

🔴 Otra cosa es que José Antonio Kast guarde un silencio cómplice https://t.co/xwN9Z5habW

🔴 No se que hora serán en Budapest o Madrid, pero alguien informele a José Antonio Kast que el Escandalo de las Licencias Medicas le pegó al Alcalde más Importante de su Partido

🔴 ¿Seguirá pensando lo mismo Kast ahora que Eduardo Espinoza (REP) esta en la mira de Contraloria? https://t.co/mP3LxDDqCm

Pocos meses atrás, el partido de José Antonio Kast celebraba que su militante Eduardo Espinoza ganaba la alcaldía de Macul. 

Para ellos, eso era "comenzar la recuperación".

¿Qué significa recuperar Chile?

¿Convenios truchos, licencias falsas? https://t.co/ZU2A1ocVAA

🔴 El concejal Michael Urra denunció un grave hecho en Macul: el candidato presidencial José Antonio Kast visitó el CESFAM Félix de Amesti en horario laboral, acompañado por el alcalde Eduardo Espinoza (el mismo que fue descubierto saliendo del país cuando presento una licencia https://t.co/O7T8DNGvgR

ENTREVISTA | Arturo Squella, presidente del P. Republicano: “Carolina Tohá no tiene ninguna posibilidad de ganar en una segunda vuelta con José Antonio Kast”
 https://t.co/rbIjnN143D

Cadem: Evelyn Matthei lidera en intención de voto, Kast le sigue de cerca y Tohá se consolida en tercer lugar https://t.co/RpoicakhOV

Dentro de 6 meses, los chilenos elegirán presidente.

Evelin Matthei (17%) y José Antonio Kast (16%) disputan palmo a palmo el primer lugar, seguidos de Carolina Tohá (10%).

Sin embargo un 37% está indeciso.
https://t.co/5JvpYoYARC

Carolina Tohá officially launched her presidential campaign in Chile, emphasizing unity, security, and progressive governance while promising to serve all citizens. Her campaign kickoff, supported by various political figures and parties, coincides with recent polls showing her leading in the primaries, though competitor Jeannette Jara is closing the gap.

Tohá Launches Presidential Campaign

Que todos sepan que @ElPulentoDios está con @Carolina_Toha https://t.co/S1s2kbUmxO

Les pido su apoyo, que trabajemos duro, y les aseguro que, si lo hacemos, vamos a ganar.
Me comprometo a que, después de ganar, toda nuestra energía, capacidad, fuerza y alma estará puesta en mejorar la vida de todos los chilenos y todas las chilenas.
https://t.co/dj5v6SYJqU

Postales de nuestro lanzamiento de campaña 💥
¡Gracias por cada abrazo, cada palabra de aliento, cada gesto de confianza!
Esto recién comienza y lo estamos haciendo junt@s.
#CreoEnChile https://t.co/Qd0wJ8NAGc

Todo listo para el lanzamiento de nuestra campaña. Podrán seguirlo en todo Chile desde nuestro canal de YouTube! Síguenos! #CreoEnChile
https://t.co/iuGHaMfKTI

Si hablamos de Cuenta Pública, Su Excelencia podría partir explicando el millón de dólares en gastos reservados bajo la gestión de Monsalve, hoy investigados por la Fiscalía. ¿Y quien era su jefa directa, Carolina Tohá? Algo tendrá que decir. No hablamos de un vale de colación, https://t.co/bUbDxYnv0l

Como olvidar cuando @Carolina_Toha se opuso a la ley Nain Retamal y la llamas la "ley del gatillo fácil...vea y escuche https://t.co/ZgEWx2LYfP

Muy convocante discurso de ⁦@Carolina_Toha⁩ en el lanzamiento de campaña - 31 de mayo - YouTube   https://t.co/dkDTRLPWF5

Y @Carolina_Toha no tenía la más remota idea.

$1.500 millones en gastos reservados y ella no controló un solo peso.

Ah, pero se cree capaz de ser presidente de Chile y controlar un presupuesto de USD95.000 millones anuales. 🤡

Bájate Carolina. Das lástima y vergüenza ajena. https://t.co/A9nGarRUYj

🎶Que se escuche, que se sienta, Carolina Presidenta🎵@Carolina_Toha https://t.co/Z8yZgRHwBR

Gran lanzamiento de campaña de Carolina Tohá en Maule, con miles de...ups  10 personas. https://t.co/3X8jTzzSut

800 millones de gastos reservados de Monsalve gastados en prostitutas, citas, trago, etc. Plata de todos los chilenos.  Algo que debería haber sido supervisado por quién era su superior, la actual candidata Carolina Tohá.  Si no fue capaz de manejar a un hombre, menos a un país. https://t.co/CTqe5gH61m

Acompañando a @Carolina_Toha quien lanza su campaña, prometiendo gobernar desde el progresismo, pero siendo la Presidenta de todos los chilenos y chilenas.  Porque nos necesitamos todos y creemos en Chile. https://t.co/suALoUwZNr

Solo pasaba por aquí para invitarlos a apoyar a @Carolina_Toha , una tremenda mujer que puede ser una gran Presidenta para Chile.

Carolina Tohá en el lanzamiento oficial de su campaña: “No necesitamos discutir si la seguridad es de izquierda o es de derecha”

https://t.co/XD8YYpyv6w

Lanzamiento de Campaña de Carolina Tohá https://t.co/UKlDL5Owqw

📊 Encuesta Panel Ciudadano UDD: 
- Carolina Tohá 36% (- 3%)
- Jeannette Jara 33% (+5%)
- Gonzalo Winter 27% (-3%)
- Jaime Mulet 4% (=) https://t.co/zpSKi0r4se

*La encuesta Panel Ciudadano UDD revela un giro en las primarias oficialistas: Jeannette Jara (PC) sube 12 puntos (39%), acercándose a Carolina Tohá (PPD, 41%)

https://t.co/QrIstaIfi7

¡Porque creemos en Chile con @Carolina_Toha 🇨🇱 ! Hoy iniciamos el camino para ganar las primarias y llegar a la presidencia con el coraje y el compromiso que todos los chilenos y chilenas merecen para enfrentar los desafíos actuales: Construir un país más justo, con foco en las https://t.co/wWzQ8PCrun

Este es el gobierno que más invasión extranjera ha tenido, @Carolina_Toha tus patéticos megáfonos no sirvieron. 

#KastTeníaRazón 
#KastPresidente2026 https://t.co/CRIZIUFHpj

🔴 Jeannette Jara se acerca a Carolina Tohá en las primarias oficialistas de Chile   👉 https://t.co/caSB2gr1gT  Vía @TTEespanol #TheTimesEnEspañol La subida de Jara en esta encuesta ha tomado por sorpresa a varios analistas, quienes ven en su ascenso una respuesta a su estilo de

🔴 ENCUESTA PANEL CIUDADANO UDD, PRIMARIAS UNIDAD POR CHILE ‼️

🟧 Carolina Tohá (Socialismo Democratico) 36% [-3]

🟥 Jeannette Jara (Partido Comunista, Acción Humanista, Izquierda Cristiana) 33% [+6]

🟩 Gonzalo Winter (Frente Amplio) 27% [-3]

🟪 Jaime Mulet (Federación https://t.co/IAr3XtUYhv

Esperanzadoras palabras de @Carolina_Toha en el lanzamiento de campaña en esta primaria desde los balcones de la sede nacional del @PRadicalcl en el tradicional barrio de París con Londres en Santiago Centro. https://t.co/wAPUj49AVw https://t.co/yrH1uYtmPs

Haciendo énfasis en materias como seguridad, corrupción, además de unidad política en su sector, Carolina Tohá tuvo este sábado su acto de lanzamiento oficial de campaña.  https://t.co/gn1Hzu5vNi

¡Con alegría y convicción iniciamos la campaña! 

Hoy dijimos fuerte y claro: creemos en Chile y creemos en @Carolina_Toha 🇨🇱

Una multitud en la plaza respaldando un liderazgo con experiencia, futuro y amor por nuestro país.

¡Esto recién comienza! #CreerEnChile https://t.co/12Zc7vC7BF

Encuesta @PanelCiudadano @UDD_cl muestra competencia estrecha en la Primaria, con 36% @Carolina_Toha 33%@jeannette_jara y 27% @gonzalowinter Tohá gana lejos en mayores de 60, winter en menores de 30 y Jara en los de 50 a 60 años https://t.co/GW4PJ6IVQw

Patricia Rivadeneira: "Soy muy cercana a las ideas que representa Carolina Tohá"

https://t.co/fmPMDmwFu1

🔴 Hoy veo un buen panorama para la DERECHA.. @Jou_Kaiser NO se bajará para la primera vuelta y deja de lado,  ser Senador o Diputado y es muy probable que junto a @joseantoniokast lleguen a segunda vuelta, pues en la IZQUIERDA NO se ven LÍDERES políticos FUERTES.. @Carolina_Toha

Ana Lya Uriarte y Senador Lagos Weber lanzan campaña de Carolina Tohá en Concepción https://t.co/fBwocira56 a través de @canal9biobiotv

🎤"Creo que no hay una sola pobreza", explica la candidata a La Moneda @Carolina_Toha a la pregunta ¿Cuáles son las principales causas de la pobreza en Chile? 

Te invitamos a escuchar, mirar, la respuesta completa aquí: ➡️https://t.co/QqfthZeLka https://t.co/sUDWpIi8yG

Unidad, unidad, todos juntos por Toha...Este mediodía, los partidos políticos del socialismo democrático nos reunimos en la sede de mi partido, el Partido Socialista, para conversar sobre el futuro de Chile, con nuestra candidata Carolina Toha como presidenta de la república. https://t.co/YJbvbUYLRS

🇨🇱| #Encuesta Latam Pulse de Atlas Intel/Bloomberg:
Carolina Tohá toma la delantera y Kaiser se desploma al 5to lugar📉. 

🟧 Tohá: 16.7% (+4.7)
🟨 Matthei: 16.6% (-0.4)
🟦 Kast: 15.6% (+4.6)
🟪 Parisi: 12.1% (+1.1)
⬛ Kaiser: 11.2% (-2.8)
🟩 Winter: 11% (+2) https://t.co/jRnWR33i2C

Carolina Tohá se pronuncia contra romper relaciones diplomáticas https://t.co/Ul8zOHrRcS https://t.co/zW5gGQeuZc

Más de 800 millones de pesos en fondos reservados que debían ser destinados a la seguridad utilizados para fines personales del ex subsecretario. Sería bueno saber por qué la exministra @Carolina_Toha no supervisó el buen uso como le correspondía según señala Contraloría y la https://t.co/NbYYT6XDmi

Entre los que sí participarán en la elección, un 36% señala que votaría por la exministra del Interior y candidata del Socialismo Democrático, Carolina Tohá, seguida por la exministra del Trabajo y postulante del PC, Jeannette Jara, quien cuenta con 33%.

https://t.co/i0hKxTjtWK

Nuevo debate entre Carolina Tohá, Jeannette Jara y Jaime Mulet en el inicio de la campaña por las primarias presidenciales del 29 de junio.

La Facultad de Derecho de la Universidad de Chile fue el escenario para debatir sobre seguridad jurídica.-

📸 © AgenciaUno/Lukas Solís https://t.co/tN2AyGjRRU

The 2025 Chilean general election is scheduled for 16 November 2025. The President of Chile is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Chilean presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will Jeannette Jara win the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?

The 2025 Chilean general election is scheduled for November 16, 2025. The President of Chile is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Electoral Service (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election?

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will Abelardo de la Espriella  win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Seychelles on September 27, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Seychellois government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Seychelles (ECS) (https://ecs.sc/).

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Malawi on September 16, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Malawian government, specifically the Malawi Electoral Commission (MEC) (https://mec.org.mw/).

Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Brazil on October 4, 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the president is decided in the first round of the election or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025 

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Portuguese election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- ANO wins the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election
- Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga wins the 2025 Bolivia presidential election
- LLA wins the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election
- Party for Freedom wins the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here: 
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/right+1.png
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/right+2.png

Elections go right: October

The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies as a result of the upcoming election.

If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of held won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Argentina's government (e.g. via https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php).

Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

The 2025 Cameroonian presidential election is scheduled to occur on October 12, 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Cameroonian presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based off the official announcement of the election results from the Cameroonian Government, specifically Elections Cameroon (ELECAM). In the case this election is contested, the final decision of the Constitutional Council of Cameroon will be this market's resolution source.

Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?

The 2025 election for half of the seats in Argentina's Chamber of Deputies is scheduled to be held on October 26, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of the seats that are contested in this election.

If voting in the next Argentine election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. 

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Argentina's government (e.g. via https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php).

Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to take place in Tanzania on October 28, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ivorian government, specifically the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) (https://www.inec.go.tz/).

Will Samia Suluhu Hassan win the 2025 Tanzania presidential election?

The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Côte d'Ivoire on October 25, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Ivorian government, specifically the Independent Electoral Commission (Commission Électorale Indépendante, CEI) (https://www.cei.ci/).

Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives.

If voting in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Chamber of Deputies of the Czech Republic. 

If voting in the next Czech election for the Chamber of Deputies does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve based on the total percentage of all votes cast out of the number of people entitled to vote in the 2025 Czech parliamentary election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of the Czech Republic (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will turnout be between 63% and 66% in the Czech election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Another Canada election called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next French legislative election is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


French election called by December 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Spanish general election is scheduled between May 28 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market is about whether a date for the next Spanish election is announced within the stated timeframe. The date the election is scheduled to take place on will have no effect on the resolution to this market.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Government of Spain however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Spain snap election called in 2025?

The 2025 Charlotte mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Charlotte.

Will Vi Lyles win the 2025 Charlotte mayoral election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of Brazil Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva announces that he is running for President of Brazil in the 2026 presidential election, between August 15 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Lula will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Lula (ex: via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?

The 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Los Angeles.

Will Karen Bass win the 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Calabria, Italy, on October 5-6, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Calabria (Regione Calabria – Dipartimento Transizione Digitale e Attività Strategiche, https://www.regione.calabria.it/dipartimento-transizione-digitale-ed-attivita-strategiche/aree-tematiche/elezioni-2025/).

Will Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Colombian Senate.

If voting in the Colombian Senate election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Senate.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic by October 2025.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will SPOLU get between 20% and 23% of the vote in the Czech election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to according to the popular vote share won by the listed Party/Coalition.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If voting in the next Czech parliamentary election does not occur by February 28, 2026, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket.

This market will resolve based off the official vote count as reported by Czech Republic’s government (e.g. via https://www.volby.cz/index_en.htm).

Will ANO get between 30% and 33% of the vote in the Czech election?

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Tuscany on October 12-13, 2025. If no candidate for President of Tuscany is elected with more than 40% of the votes in the first round of this election, a run-off will be held fourteen days later.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Tuscany (Regione Toscana – Consiglio regionale, https://www.regione.toscana.it/osservatorio-elettorale).

Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?

Will Motoristé get between 5% and 7% of the vote in the Czech election?

The 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Albuquerque.

Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time between February 3 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast
$260,971 Vol.
68%
0123456789
%

Jeannette Jara
$302,497 Vol.
18%

Evelyn Matthei
$665,765 Vol.
11%
0123456789
%

Franco Parisi
$403,579 Vol.
2%

Johannes Kaiser
$395,355 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Eduardo Artés
$380,334 Vol.
<1%

Marco Enríquez-Ominami
$338,792 Vol.
<1%

Jaime Mulet
$280,823 Vol.
<1%

Carolina Tohá
$244,222 Vol.
<1%

Gonzalo Winter
$142,147 Vol.
<1%

Félix González
$290,639 Vol.
<1%

Francesca Muñoz
$317,145 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ximena Rincón
$379,160 Vol.
<1%

Michelle Bachelet
$772,027 Vol.
<1%

Alberto Undurraga
$939,315 Vol.
<1%

Market Context

Chile Presidential Election

Rules

Chile Presidential Election

Market Context

Chile Presidential Election

About

Related

Chile Presidential Election

José Antonio Kast$260,971 Vol.68%0123456789%

Jeannette Jara$302,497 Vol.18%

Evelyn Matthei$665,765 Vol.11%0123456789%

Franco Parisi$403,579 Vol.2%

Johannes Kaiser$395,355 Vol.1%0123456789%

Eduardo Artés$380,334 Vol.<1%

Marco Enríquez-Ominami$338,792 Vol.<1%

Jaime Mulet$280,823 Vol.<1%

Carolina Tohá$244,222 Vol.<1%

Gonzalo Winter$142,147 Vol.<1%

Félix González$290,639 Vol.<1%

Francesca Muñoz$317,145 Vol.<1%0123456789%

Ximena Rincón$379,160 Vol.<1%

Michelle Bachelet$772,027 Vol.<1%

Alberto Undurraga$939,315 Vol.<1%

Market Context

Chile Presidential Election

Rules

Chile Presidential Election

Market Context

Chile Presidential Election

About

Related

José Antonio Kast
$260,971 Vol.
68%
0123456789
%

Jeannette Jara
$302,497 Vol.
18%

Evelyn Matthei
$665,765 Vol.
11%
0123456789
%

Franco Parisi
$403,579 Vol.
2%

Johannes Kaiser
$395,355 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Eduardo Artés
$380,334 Vol.
<1%

Marco Enríquez-Ominami
$338,792 Vol.
<1%

Jaime Mulet
$280,823 Vol.
<1%

Carolina Tohá
$244,222 Vol.
<1%

Gonzalo Winter
$142,147 Vol.
<1%

Félix González
$290,639 Vol.
<1%

Francesca Muñoz
$317,145 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Ximena Rincón
$379,160 Vol.
<1%

Michelle Bachelet
$772,027 Vol.
<1%

Alberto Undurraga
$939,315 Vol.
<1%