Name: Boston Mayoral Election
Start: 2025-07-23T23:57:50.467961Z
End: 2025-11-04T12:00:00Z

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The 2025 Boston mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Boston.

Michelle Wu

Josh Kraft

Jorge Mendoza-Iturralde

Ed Flynn

Althea Garrison

William G. Gross

Boston Mayoral Election

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

The 2025 Miami mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Miami.

Will Eileen Higgins win the 2025 Miami mayoral election?

The 2025 Charlotte mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Charlotte.

Will Vi Lyles win the 2025 Charlotte mayoral election?

The 2025 Atlanta mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Atlanta.

Will Andre Dickens win the 2025 Atlanta mayoral election?

The 2025 Cleveland mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Cleveland.

Will Justin Bibb win the 2025 Cleveland mayoral election?

The 2025 Detroit mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Detroit.

Will Mary Sheffield win the 2025 Detroit mayoral election?

The 2025 Seattle mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Seattle.

Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?

The 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of Minneapolis.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Minneapolis.

Will Jacob Frey win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?

The 2025 New Orleans mayoral election will be held on October 11, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from New Orleans.

Will Helena Moreno win the 2025 New Orleans mayoral election?

The 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Albuquerque.

Will Tim Keller win the 2025 Albuquerque mayoral election?

The 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Los Angeles.

Will Karen Bass win the 2025 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Corey O'Connor win the 2025 Pittsburgh mayoral election?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the candidate candidate that wins the second most votes in this election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.

Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

The 2025 Jersey City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Jersey City.

Will Jim McGreevey win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic candidate wins the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, however if there is any ambiguity in the results this market will resolve according to official information from New York City.




Will the Democratic candidate win the  NYC mayoral election?

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held on October 12, 2025. Each party or group puts forward a list of candidates, and the list with the most votes makes its top candidate the mayor.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who is elected mayor.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Lisbon.

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

The 2025 New York City mayoral election will be held on November 4, 2025, to elect the mayor of New York City.

This market will resolve according to the vote share won by the listed candidate.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Curtis Sliwa get less than 10% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?

The New York City mayoral general election is scheduled to occur on November 4, 2025.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani wins over 50% of the votes cast in the general election for Mayor of New York City in 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no general election for Mayor of New York City occurs by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the results are otherwise unknown by that date, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York City Board of Elections, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official recount is initiated 2025 New York City Mayoral Election process by January 1, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If the legal deadline to initiate a recount has passed 2025 NYC mayoral election, and there are no formal or legal processes underway to initiate a recount, this market may resolve to "No".
 
A recount is defined as a formal re-tallying of votes that is ordered by election authorities, whether automatically triggered by law, requested by a candidate, or ordered by a court. 

The resolution source will be official information from the relevant election authorities.

Will there be a recount in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Donald Trump announces that he will vote for or endorses for the 2025 NYC Mayor election.

If Trump does not announce an endorsement by  November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No endorsement".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump make no endorsement for NYC Mayor?

This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 New Jersey gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Maine.

If no 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Maine Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

This market will resolve to according to the if the candidate who wins the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial election.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Zohran Mamdani receives the most votes in the 2025  New York City Mayoral election in the listed borough. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Zohran Mamdani win Brooklyn in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

This market will resolve according to the first list candidate which withdraws from or officially announces their withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, before November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. 

If multiple candidates announce their withdrawal simultaneously this market will resolve to the candidate's whose last name comes first alphabetically. 

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed candidate or their official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Will Eric Adams drop out first?

This market will resolve according to the number of boroughs Zohran Mamdani receives the most votes in, in the 2025 New York City Mayoral election. 

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.

Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Curtis Sliwa withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, by November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Curtis Sliwa or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Bill Belichick is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Bill Belichick has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Bill Belichick or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?

The 2025 Irish presidential election must take place by Tuesday, 11 November 2025.

This market will resolve to the individual who wins the next Irish presidential election.

If the result of this election isn't known by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the he Irish Government, specifically the Electoral Commission (An Coimisiún Toghcháin (see: https://www.electoralcommission.ie/).

Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2025 an election is scheduled for April 23, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes").

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Another Canada election called in 2025?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Barack Obama announces that he will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 25, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Barack Obama announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Barack Obama or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Obama's endorsement.

Will Obama endorse Mamdani?

The second round of the Bolivian presidential election is scheduled to take place on 19 October 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. 

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?

This market will resolve to "Sliwa" if Curtis Sliwa receives more votes than Eric Adams in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election. 

This market will resolve to "Adams" if Eric Adams receives more votes than Curtis Sliwa in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election.

This market will resolve based on the official certified results as published by the New York City Board of Elections.

If any named candidate publicly suspends or ends their campaign but remains on the certified ballot, the market will stay open and resolve according to the certified totals for both candidates. If one of the above-specified candidates is removed from the accredited ballot for any reason, this market will resolve to the candidate who remains on the ballot. If both candidates are taken off the accredited ballot simultaneously or if both candidates receive the exact same number of votes, this market will resolve 50-50.

If a recount is initiated prior to certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the results are certified. A recount initiated after certification will not affect market resolution.


Will Sliwa or Adams get more votes?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Seychelles on September 27, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Seychellois government, specifically the Electoral Commission of Seychelles (ECS) (https://ecs.sc/).

Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Nicușor Dan, the current Mayor of Bucharest, was elected President of Romania on May 18, 2025, triggering a mayoral by-election expected within 90 days of his departure.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2025 Bucharest mayoral by-election to become the next elected Mayor of Bucharest. 

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the by-election will not be considered. 

If no by-election takes place by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Regional elections are scheduled to take place in Calabria, Italy, on October 5-6, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Regional Council of Calabria (Regione Calabria – Dipartimento Transizione Digitale e Attività Strategiche, https://www.regione.calabria.it/dipartimento-transizione-digitale-ed-attivita-strategiche/aree-tematiche/elezioni-2025/).

Will Roberto Occhiuto win Calabria Regional Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hakeem Jeffries announces that he will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between September 2, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Hakeem Jeffries announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Hakeem Jeffries or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Hakeem Jeffries's endorsement.

Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris announces that she will vote for Zohran Mamdani or endorses Mamdani for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 26, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Kamala Harris announces that she will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kamala Harris or one of her representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Kamala Harris's endorsement.

Will Kamala Harris endorse Mamdani?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Eric Adams withdraws from or officially announces his withdrawal from the 2025 New York City Mayoral election, or announces the suspension of his 2025 NYC Mayoral campaign, by November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eric Adams or his official/legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will Eric Adams drop out?

This market will resolve according to winner of the 2025 Ballon D’Or. 

If no 2025 Ballon D’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?

This market will resolve according to the candidate Bernie Sanders announces that he will vote for or endorses for the listed election.

If Bernie Sanders does not announce an endorsement by the day before the scheduled election at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Bernie Sanders or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Bernie Sanders' endorsement.

Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump announces that he will vote for Eric Adams or endorses Adams for the 2025 NYC Mayor election between June 26, and November 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Donald Trump announces that he will vote for another candidate or endorses another candidate for NYC Mayor, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and explicitly endorses at least one person as a candidate for New York City mayor between June 25, and November 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

for the purpose of this market, An endorsement is defined as a clear, public statement that communicates Trump’s support for a specific individual to be elected mayor of New York City.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump or one of his representatives, or a consensus of credible reporting of Trump's endorsement.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Chile on November 16, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the vote outright, a second round of elections will be scheduled.

This market will resolve to the candidate that wins this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Chilean Government, specifically the Chilean Electoral Service (Servicio Electoral de Chile, Serval) (https://www.servel.cl/).

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in the Czech Republic on October 3, 2025.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of the Czech Republic following the 2025 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Czech Republic; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Boston Mayoral Election

Michelle Wu
$10,092 Vol.
97%

William G. Gross
$8,162 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Jorge Mendoza-Iturralde
$29,433 Vol.
1%

Althea Garrison
$61,458 Vol.
<1%

Josh Kraft
$8,253 Vol.
<1%

Ed Flynn
$7,854 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%

Market Context

Boston Mayoral Election

Rules

Boston Mayoral Election

Market Context

Boston Mayoral Election

About

Related

Boston Mayoral Election

Michelle Wu$10,092 Vol.97%

William G. Gross$8,162 Vol.1%0123456789%

Jorge Mendoza-Iturralde$29,433 Vol.1%

Althea Garrison$61,458 Vol.<1%

Josh Kraft$8,253 Vol.<1%

Ed Flynn$7,854 Vol.<1%0123456789%

Market Context

Boston Mayoral Election

Rules

Boston Mayoral Election

Market Context

Boston Mayoral Election

About

Related

Michelle Wu
$10,092 Vol.
97%

William G. Gross
$8,162 Vol.
1%
0123456789
%

Jorge Mendoza-Iturralde
$29,433 Vol.
1%

Althea Garrison
$61,458 Vol.
<1%

Josh Kraft
$8,253 Vol.
<1%

Ed Flynn
$7,854 Vol.
<1%
0123456789
%