Market icon

Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory

$67,932 Vol.

Paz by 20%+ 20%

Paz by 5–10% 13%

Paz by 0–5% 12%

Paz by 10–15% 11.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Rules

A second-round (runoff) vote for the Bolivia Presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 19, 2025

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Volume

$67,932

End Date

Oct 19, 2025

shield

Beware of external links.

$67,932 Vol.

Market icon

Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory

Paz by 20%+ 20%

Paz by 5–10% 13%

Paz by 0–5% 12%

Paz by 10–15% 11.3%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Market icon

Paz by 20%+

$14,921 Vol.

Market icon

Paz by 15–20%

$2,675 Vol.

Market icon

Paz by 10–15%

$4,081 Vol.

Market icon

Paz by 5–10%

$5,423 Vol.

Market icon

Paz by 0–5%

$5,110 Vol.

Market icon

Tuto by 0–5%

$5,303 Vol.

Market icon

Tuto by 5–10%

$4,913 Vol.

Market icon

Tuto by 10–15%

$3,990 Vol.

Market icon

Tuto by 15–20%

$5,382 Vol.

Market icon

Tuto by 20%+

$14,874 Vol.

Market icon

Other

$1,262 Vol.

About

Volume

$67,932

End Date

Oct 19, 2025