Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory
$67,932 Vol.
Paz by 20%+ 20%
Paz by 5–10% 13%
Paz by 0–5% 12%
Paz by 10–15% 11.3%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Paz by 20%+
$14,921 Vol.
20%

Paz by 20%+
$14,921 Vol.
20%

Paz by 15–20%
$2,675 Vol.
10%

Paz by 15–20%
$2,675 Vol.
10%

Paz by 10–15%
$4,081 Vol.
11%

Paz by 10–15%
$4,081 Vol.
11%

Paz by 5–10%
$5,423 Vol.
13%

Paz by 5–10%
$5,423 Vol.
13%

Paz by 0–5%
$5,110 Vol.
12%

Paz by 0–5%
$5,110 Vol.
12%

Tuto by 0–5%
$5,303 Vol.
10%

Tuto by 0–5%
$5,303 Vol.
10%

Tuto by 5–10%
$4,913 Vol.
7%

Tuto by 5–10%
$4,913 Vol.
7%

Tuto by 10–15%
$3,990 Vol.
4%

Tuto by 10–15%
$3,990 Vol.
4%

Tuto by 15–20%
$5,382 Vol.
4%

Tuto by 15–20%
$5,382 Vol.
4%

Tuto by 20%+
$14,874 Vol.
7%

Tuto by 20%+
$14,874 Vol.
7%

Other
$1,262 Vol.
1%

Other
$1,262 Vol.
1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the second round of the Bolivian Presidential Election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket (ascending).
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the results of the election aren’t known by March 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$67,932
End Date
Oct 19, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...$67,932 Vol.
Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory
Paz by 20%+ 20%
Paz by 5–10% 13%
Paz by 0–5% 12%
Paz by 10–15% 11.3%
OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Paz by 20%+
$14,921 Vol.

Paz by 15–20%
$2,675 Vol.

Paz by 10–15%
$4,081 Vol.

Paz by 5–10%
$5,423 Vol.

Paz by 0–5%
$5,110 Vol.

Tuto by 0–5%
$5,303 Vol.

Tuto by 5–10%
$4,913 Vol.

Tuto by 10–15%
$3,990 Vol.

Tuto by 15–20%
$5,382 Vol.

Tuto by 20%+
$14,874 Vol.

Other
$1,262 Vol.
About
Volume
$67,932
End Date
Oct 19, 2025
Resolver
0x2F5e3684cb...
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